ORC Valuation

Orchid Island Capital Inc

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7.090

-0.06(-0.839%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ORC Relative Valuation

ORC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ORC is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 8.01 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -6.93. The fair price of Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) is between 6.35 to 33.95 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.35-33.95

Current Price：7.15

Fair

10.29

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

EV/EBIT

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) has a current EV/EBIT of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

8.01

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) has a current PS of 8.01. The 5-year average PS is -10.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -135.47, Undervalued between -135.47 and -72.80, Fairly Valued between 52.55 and -72.80, Overvalued between 52.55 and 115.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 115.23. The current Forward PS of 8.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.99. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.92 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 8.29% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.95, the current P/B ratio is about 4.44% higher. Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.93%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 26.23%, the current FCF yield is approximately -81.22% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 23.10% , the current FCF yield is about -78.67% lower.

0.99

P/B

Median3y

0.92

Median5y

0.95

4.93

FCF Yield

Median3y

26.23

Median5y

23.10

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ORC's competitors is 4.15, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Orchid Island Capital Inc Corp (ORC) exhibits a P/S ratio of 8.01, which is 93.11% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -23.72%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ORC.N

Orchid Island Capital Inc

Apartment Investment and Management Co

Chimera Investment Corp

3.19

3.37%

1.10B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ORC decreased by 2.32% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -9.37 to -82.80.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -23.72%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ORC in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-23.72%

53.16M → 40.55M

Revenue Growth

783.67%

-9.37 → -82.80

Margin Expansion

-762.27%

-15.23 → 100.88

P/E Change

-2.32%