ORC Stock Price Prediction

Orchid Island Capital Inc

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7.080

-0.070(-0.980%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Orchid Island Capital Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ORC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

ORC stock price ended at $7.08 on Thursday, after losing -0.98%

The Orchid Island Capital Inc stock price decreased by -0.98% on the last trading day (01 May 2025), dropping from 7.18 to 7.08. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.35% , ranging from a day low of $7.03 to a day high of 7.1955. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 10.80% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -1.28M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.36M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 23.87M.

ORC Technical Signals

ORC(Orchid Island Capital Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-28. The total price change during this trend is -2.59%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of ORC over the last 5 trading days is 34.55M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

ORC Moving Average Analysis

Orchid Island Capital Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Thursday, May 1, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $7.595483333333333, and $8.044333333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $6.143183333333334, and $5.694333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ORC Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Orchid Island Capital Inc(ORC) as of 29 Apr 2025 is 28.59%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 7.34 to 7.33. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong sell

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.8

Bullish

6 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

90.197

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.0691

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.109

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

95.161

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-17.981

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

ORC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Orchid Island Capital Inc(ORC), our algorithm predicts ORC's 1-month price at $7.55, with an 3.75%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.75%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 3.75% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with TCBK.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.75%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ORC

Future prediction

Up: 3.75%

TCBK

Up: 3.75%Similarity: 98.75%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

TCBK.O

98.75%

+3.75%

SCYX.O

98.70%

-0.77%

AYI.N

98.68%

-0.51%

CPA.N

98.66%

-14.04%

NHTC.O

98.52%

+7.13%

KZIA.O

98.38%

-16.51%

ALCO.O

98.38%

+8.77%

BOXL.O

98.37%

-1.55%

ORC Seasonality Analysis

Based on ORC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is70.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ORC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while October has the lowest probability (40.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Orchid Island Capital Inc. (ORC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.