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ORC Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Orchid Island Capital Inc(ORC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Orchid Island Capital Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-23After Hours0.140.16+14.2925.33M26.92M+6.27+2.69-0.54
FY2025Q22025-07-24After Hours0.150.16+6.6722.10M23.15M+4.76+1.51-2.05
FY2025Q12025-04-24After Hours0.180.16-11.1111.96M19.71M+64.89+5.05+3.17
FY2024Q42025-01-30After Hours0.010.05+400.004.24M8.14M+92.21+3.99+3.49
FY2024Q32024-10-24After Hours-0.05-0.05--469.00K340.00K+172.49+0.38-2.44
FY2024Q22024-07-25--0.09-0.09--3.17M-697.00K+77.99-0.48-1.69
FY2024Q12024-04-25--0.12-0.12--2.88M-2.49M+13.66-2.78-1.07
FY2023Q42024-02-01-0.52-0.13-125.00-9.30M-2.79M+70.04+3.63-
FY2023Q32023-10-26--3.08-0.28+90.9117.70M-8.60M-148.58+0.16+8.20
-2022-10-27-0.250.26+4.00----0.40+0.51
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ORC Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Orchid Island Capital Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-23. The company achieved an EPS of 0.16, compared to analyst estimates of 0.14 by 14.29% . Revenue for the quarter reached 26.92M compared to expectations of 25.33M by 6.27% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.69% one-day change and a -0.54% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Orchid Island Capital Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ORC Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Orchid Island Capital Inc(ORC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 36.92M and an EPS of 0.18.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 8.25%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 21.41% . These revisions correlate with a 1.67% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Orchid Island Capital Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ORC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+8.25%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+21.41%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+1.67%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:106.70M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.64
—
Stock Price7.31
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Financial AI Agent

ORC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Orchid Island Capital Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-23,After Hours):
EPS: 0.16 (Actual) vs.0.14 (Estimate) (14.29%)
Revenue: 26.92M (Actual) vs. 25.33M (Estimate) (6.27%)
Price Reaction: 2.69%(1-Day), -0.54%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-24,After Hours):
EPS: 0.16 (Actual) vs.0.15 (Estimate) (6.67%)
Revenue: 23.15M (Actual) vs. 22.10M (Estimate) (4.76%)
Price Reaction: 1.51%(1-Day), -2.05%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-24,After Hours):
EPS: 0.16 (Actual) vs.0.18 (Estimate) (-11.11%)
Revenue: 19.71M (Actual) vs. 11.96M (Estimate) (64.89%)
Price Reaction: 5.05%(1-Day), 3.17%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ORC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ORC sees a +1.06% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.82% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.69% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.61% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-24
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a significant improvement in net income and book value. The consistent dividend and increased liquidity are positive signs. The Q&A section highlights management's strategic approach to risk and leverage, with an optimistic view on swap spreads. Despite some unclear responses, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by improved financial metrics and effective portfolio management.
Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-07-25
The earnings call reveals a mixed performance with several negative indicators: a loss per share, declining book value, and a negative total return for the quarter. Despite stable dividends and active share repurchase, the market outlook remains volatile with regulatory uncertainties. The Q&A section highlights concerns about capital raising and unclear management responses, further contributing to negative sentiment. While there are some positive aspects like the hedging strategy and leverage adjustments, they are overshadowed by the overall financial decline and market uncertainties, leading to a predicted stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-25
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: positive EPS growth and portfolio yield improvements, but concerns over increased leverage and book value decline. The Q&A section highlights unclear management responses, particularly on the duration gap, which may cause investor unease. The dividend remains stable, but the lack of share buybacks and potential supply chain issues pose risks. Overall, these factors balance out to a neutral sentiment, with no clear catalyst for significant stock movement in either direction.
Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-25
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows improvement in EPS and net interest income, but book value and total return have declined. The Q&A reveals concerns about economic factors and regulatory issues, with management providing vague responses. Shareholder returns are stable, with dividends maintained and a buyback program in place. Overall, the positive financial metrics are balanced by uncertainties and market challenges, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-01-31
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: stable book value and dividend, but declining net income and book value YoY. The positive elements include a strategic focus on higher coupon securities and a defensive hedge strategy. However, the Q&A reveals some management evasiveness on key issues, and the economic outlook remains uncertain with potential regulatory and market volatility risks. The unchanged book value and cautious economic outlook suggest a neutral stock price movement.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-25
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: a return to profitability and dividend declarations are positives, but declining book value, increased share count, and funding pressures are concerns. The Q&A highlights market uncertainties and management's cautious outlook, particularly around elections and volatility. While there are some positive developments, the lack of clear guidance and potential risks balance out the positives, suggesting a neutral stock price movement.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-07-26
The earnings call reveals financial instability with a net loss, declining book value, and negative total return. Despite some positive metrics like increased NIM and improved funding costs, risks such as market volatility, housing market weakness, and economic uncertainty overshadow them. The Q&A highlights concerns about convexity exposure and unclear management responses. While dividends were declared, the overall sentiment is negative due to the net loss, book value decline, and economic risks, suggesting a potential stock price decrease.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ORC’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ORC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-23, showcasing a revenue of 26.92M against an estimate of 25.33M, resulting in a 6.27% surprise. The EPS was 0.16, surpassing the expected 0.14 by 14.29% . The stock experienced a 2.69% price change on the earnings day and a -0.54% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ORC’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ORC’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-23, the stock price moved by 2.69% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -0.54% change. Historically, ORC’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.06% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.82% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ORC for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ORC’s annual revenue to reach 36.92M, while the EPS is projected at 0.18. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 8.25% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 21.41% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ORC’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ORC’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 8.25%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 21.41% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ORC’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ORC’s stock price typically moves by +1.06% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.82% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.18 and revenue of 36.92M.
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What is the sentiment in Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a significant improvement in net income and book value. The consistent dividend and increased liquidity are positive signs. The Q&A section highlights management's strategic approach to risk and leverage, with an optimistic view on swap spreads. Despite some unclear responses, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by improved financial metrics and effective portfolio management.
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