OBE Valuation

Obsidian Energy Ltd

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6.370

+0.17(2.742%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

OBE Relative Valuation

OBE's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, OBE is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 8.51 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 3.92. The fair price of Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) is between 2.46 to 5.14 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 6.37 USD , Obsidian Energy Ltd is Overvalued By 23.85%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

2.46-5.14

Current Price：6.37

23.85%

Overvalued

8.51

Trailing

Forward

1.98

EV/EBITDA

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current EV/EBITDA of 1.98. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 2.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.36, Undervalued between 1.36 and 1.84, Fairly Valued between 2.81 and 1.84, Overvalued between 2.81 and 3.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.30. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 1.98 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.90

EV/EBIT

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current EV/EBIT of 1.90. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 3.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.18, Undervalued between -3.18 and 0.20, Fairly Valued between 6.95 and 0.20, Overvalued between 6.95 and 10.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.33. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 1.90 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.75

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current PS of 0.75. The 5-year average PS is 0.77. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.20, Undervalued between 0.20 and 0.48, Fairly Valued between 1.05 and 0.48, Overvalued between 1.05 and 1.34, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.34. The current Forward PS of 0.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.11

P/OCF

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current P/OCF of 2.11. The 5-year average P/OCF is 1.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.48, Undervalued between 0.48 and 1.01, Fairly Valued between 2.06 and 1.01, Overvalued between 2.06 and 2.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.58. The current Forward P/OCF of 2.11 falls within the Overvalued range.

9.71

P/FCF

Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current P/FCF of 9.71. The 5-year average P/FCF is 94.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -888.98, Undervalued between -888.98 and -397.24, Fairly Valued between 586.25 and -397.24, Overvalued between 586.25 and 1078.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 1078.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.71 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.43. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.47 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -9.77% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.53, the current P/B ratio is about -19.49% higher. Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 3.83%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.10% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

0.43

P/B

Median3y

0.47

Median5y

0.53

7.08

FCF Yield

Median3y

3.83

Median5y

12.10

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for OBE's competitors is 1.40, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Obsidian Energy Ltd Corp (OBE) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -31.66%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Core Laboratories Inc

Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of OBE increased by 11.91% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.59 to -2.92.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -31.66%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of OBE in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-31.66%

187.60M → 128.20M

Revenue Growth

-39.69%

19.78 → 11.93

Margin Expansion

83.26%

-1.59 → -2.92

P/E Change

11.91%