OBE Relative Valuation
OBE's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, OBE is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 7.18 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 4.23. The fair price of Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) is between 3.57 to 6.40 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
3.57-6.40
Current Price：6.22
Fair
7.14
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
2.25
EV/EBITDA
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current EV/EBITDA of 2.25. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 2.26. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.54, Undervalued between 1.54 and 1.90, Fairly Valued between 2.62 and 1.90, Overvalued between 2.62 and 2.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.98. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 2.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
2.08
EV/EBIT
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current EV/EBIT of 2.08. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 3.72. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.73, Undervalued between -2.73 and 0.50, Fairly Valued between 6.95 and 0.50, Overvalued between 6.95 and 10.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.17. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 2.08 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.78
PS
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current PS of 0.78. The 5-year average PS is 0.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.29, Undervalued between 0.29 and 0.54, Fairly Valued between 1.05 and 0.54, Overvalued between 1.05 and 1.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.30. The current Forward PS of 0.78 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
2.17
P/OCF
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current P/OCF of 2.17. The 5-year average P/OCF is 1.61. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.65, Undervalued between 0.65 and 1.13, Fairly Valued between 2.09 and 1.13, Overvalued between 2.09 and 2.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.57. The current Forward P/OCF of 2.17 falls within the Overvalued range.
13.44
P/FCF
Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE) has a current P/FCF of 13.44. The 5-year average P/FCF is 94.92. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -888.03, Undervalued between -888.03 and -396.56, Fairly Valued between 586.39 and -396.56, Overvalued between 586.39 and 1077.86, and Strongly Overvalued above 1077.86. The current Forward P/FCF of 13.44 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.41. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.44 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -5.17% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.54, the current P/B ratio is about -23.84% higher. Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.89%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.79% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
0.41
P/B
Median3y
0.44
Median5y
0.54
-0.77
FCF Yield
Median3y
2.89
Median5y
7.79
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for OBE's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Obsidian Energy Ltd Corp (OBE) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -31.70%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of OBE increased by 6.39% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.57 to -2.58.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -25.90%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of OBE in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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FAQ
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