OBE Forecast — Price Prediction for 2025. Should I Buy OBE?
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-0.09%
1-Week Prediction
+1.96%
1-Month Prediction
+6.33%
2026 Prediction
-12.66%
2030 Prediction
+18.56%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that OBE stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $5.6, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $5.7. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $6. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $4.89, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $6.64. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Obsidian Energy Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. OBE has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
OBE stock price ended at $5.6 on Tuesday, after losing-3.78%
The Obsidian Energy Ltd stock price decreased by -3.78% on the last trading day (16 Dec 2025), dropping from 5.81 to 5.6. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.24% , ranging from a day low of $5.5735 to a day high of 5.81. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -6.51% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -25.01K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 284.77K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.61M.
OBE Technical Signals
OBE(Obsidian Energy Ltd Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is a downtrend starting from 2025-10-09. The total price change during this trend is -16.79%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of OBE over the last 5 trading days is 1.49M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
OBE Moving Average Analysis
Obsidian Energy Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Wednesday, December 17, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $6.53, and $6.85. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.49, and $5.17. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
OBE Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Obsidian Energy Ltd(OBE) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 13.81%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 6.08 to 6.17. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
10.669
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-266.089
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
5.093
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-96.851
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.0741
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.39
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0481
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
5.6
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 200-day SMA
--
Bearish
OBE Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Month
Min. Price
Avg. Price
Max. Price
Potential ROI
Jan 2026
$5.27
$5.93
$6.15
+8.13%
Feb 2026
$5.13
$6.29
$6.31
+14.80%
Mar 2026
$3.78
$4.89
$5.03
-10.75%
Apr 2026
$4.60
$5.75
$6.66
+4.95%
May 2026
$4.31
$4.89
$6.13
-10.75%
Jun 2026
$6.00
$6.62
$6.77
+20.75%
Jul 2026
$5.02
$5.87
$5.93
+7.14%
Aug 2026
$5.30
$6.11
$6.75
+11.46%
Sep 2026
$5.22
$5.42
$6.66
-1.11%
Oct 2026
$4.82
$4.94
$6.20
-9.93%
Nov 2026
$6.53
$6.60
$6.65
+20.42%
Dec 2026
$4.38
$4.89
$5.28
-10.75%
In 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $3.78 and $6.77.
Obsidian Energy Ltd Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 8.13%
In Jan 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.93. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.27 and a high of $6.15.
Feb 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.80%
In Feb 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.29. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.13 and a high of $6.31.
Mar 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Mar 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $4.89. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $3.78 and a high of $5.03.
Apr 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 4.95%
In Apr 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.75. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.60 and a high of $6.66.
May 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In May 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $4.89. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.31 and a high of $6.13.
Jun 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 20.75%
In Jun 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.62. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.00 and a high of $6.77.
Jul 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.14%
In Jul 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.87. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.02 and a high of $5.93.
Aug 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 11.46%
In Aug 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.11. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.30 and a high of $6.75.
Sep 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -1.11%
In Sep 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $5.42. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.22 and a high of $6.66.
Oct 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -9.93%
In Oct 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $4.94. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.82 and a high of $6.20.
Nov 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 20.42%
In Nov 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.60. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.53 and a high of $6.65.
Dec 2026: OBE Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Dec 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $4.89. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.38 and a high of $5.28.
OBE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Obsidian Energy Ltd(OBE), our algorithm predicts OBE's 1-month price at $5.38, with an -10.57%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.24%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock, as of Sunday, December 14, 2025 , forecasts a -10.57% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ING.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.24%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
OBE
No data
ING
Down: -10.57%Similarity: 94.24%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
ING.N
94.24%
-10.57%
HMY.N
93.40%
+6.19%
CLRO.O
93.27%
+8.60%
PLAG.A
93.03%
+21.86%
RM.N
93.00%
+5.01%
CLRO.O
92.77%
+0.47%
WRB.N
92.76%
+5.16%
MOV.N
92.75%
+0.69%
OBE Seasonality Analysis
Based on OBE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in OBE. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while January has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. OBE has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while January has the lowest probability (27.27%).
How has Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
OBE's stock price rose by 14.53% in 2023,decreased by -13.71% in 2024, and went down by 6.35%in 2025.
Which bullish technical signals does OBE have?
Bullish technical signals of OBE include: STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20, CCI_20_0.015 < -100, STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20, WILLR_14 < -80.
Which bearish technical signals does OBE have?
Bearish technical signals of OBE include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, MACD_12_26_9 < 0, close < fibonacci_S1, Price crosses below 200-day SMA.
Is OBE a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
OBE has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for OBE is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of OBE.
What is the trend of Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)'s moving average?
Obsidian Energy Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of December 17 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for OBE stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock, as of December 14 2025, forecasts a -10.57% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ING stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.24%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $4.89. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $4.38 and a high of $5.28.
What is price prediction 2030 for Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Obsidian Energy Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $6.64. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $5.75 and a high of $7.18.
Negative
Positive
