OBE Stock Price Prediction
Obsidian Energy Ltd
$
4.550
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
OBE stock price ended at $4.55 on Friday, afterlosing-14.47%
TheObsidian Energy Ltd stock pricedecreasedby -14.47%on the last trading day (Friday Apr 2025), dropping from 5.19 to 4.55. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 17.95% , ranging from a day low of $4.4 to a day high of 5.19. The price has declined in5of the last10days, resulting in a total change of-20.04%during this period. On the last day, trading volumeincreaseby144.27Kshares, with the fallingprices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 781.27K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.68M.
OBE Technical Signals
OBE(Obsidian Energy Ltd Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-02. The total price change during this trend is -24.17%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal.The average turnover of OBEover the last 5 trading days is 2.44M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a bearish outlook in the mid-term.
Obsidian Energy Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, April 6, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $6.55, and $7.21. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $4.41, and $3.74. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Summary
Neutral
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-214.4
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.06
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.02
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-95.97
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-1.14
Bearish
Closing price
close < fibonacci_S1
4.55
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
OBE Price Prediction & Forecast
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Obsidian Energy Ltd(OBE), our algorithm predicts OBE's 1-month price at $4.13, with an -9.16%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.30%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Based on OBE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in OBE. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Should I Buy Obsidian Energy Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the three key dimensions—technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching—we have identified the following insights.OBE has several negativesignals and is within afallingtrend, so we believe it will performweaklyin the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold anegativeevaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is aStrong Sellcandidate.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart forObsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A)stock, as ofSunday, April 6, 2025, forecasts a-9.16%change over the next month, based on its high correlation withTKO.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is93.3%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
OBE
Future prediction
Up: -9.16%
TKO
Down: -9.16%Similarity: 93.3%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
TKO.N
93.30%
-9.16%
VLRS.N
92.95%
+1.72%
CALM.O
92.60%
+0.55%
SBUX.O
92.41%
+0.68%
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while January has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Obsidian Energy Ltd.(OBE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock?
OBE has several negativesignals and is within arisingtrend, so we believe it will performweaklyin the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold anegativeevaluation of this stock. The price is expected torise-9.16%in the coming month. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is aStrong Sellcandidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE.A) stock in a year?
How has Obsidian Energy Ltd. (OBE)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does OBE have?
Which bearish technical signals does OBE have?
Is OBE a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Obsidian Energy Ltd (OBE)'s moving average?