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NLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
22.610
1 Day change
1.03%
52 Week Range
24.520
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) does not present a compelling buy opportunity at this time for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong financial performance in the latest quarter and maintains a high dividend yield, the technical indicators are neutral, and the stock's short-term trend suggests potential downside. Additionally, there are no strong proprietary trading signals or significant positive catalysts to support immediate action.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 53.457, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the stock is trading near its pivot level (22.428), with resistance at 22.879 and support at 21.978. The overall technical setup suggests no strong directional bias.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q1 2026 financial performance with revenue up 25.60% YoY, net income up 177.95% YoY, and EPS up 120.00% YoY.

  • Increased residential credit portfolio by 30%.

  • High dividend yield of 11.7%, which may attract income-focused investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have recently lowered price targets, citing macroeconomic volatility and persistent headwinds from higher interest rates.

  • Short-term stock trend indicates a 60% chance of negative returns in the next day, week, and month.

  • No significant hedge fund or insider trading activity to suggest strong institutional confidence.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, Annaly reported revenue growth of 25.60% YoY, net income growth of 177.95% YoY, and EPS growth of 120.00% YoY. Gross margin improved by 45.59% YoY to 20.95%. The company achieved a 1.5% economic return and raised $510 million through ATM financing.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain an overall positive outlook with multiple Overweight and Outperform ratings. However, recent price target adjustments have been mixed, with some firms lowering targets due to macroeconomic volatility and interest rate challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast NLY stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NLY stock price to rise
6 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 22.380
sliders
Low
21.5
Averages
23.09
High
25
Current: 22.380
sliders
Low
21.5
Averages
23.09
High
25
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$23
AI Analysis
2026-04-24
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$23
AI Analysis
2026-04-24
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $23 from $22.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
JPMorgan
Richard Shane
NULL
to
Overweight
maintain
$23 -> $24
2026-04-23
Reason
JPMorgan
Richard Shane
Price Target
$23 -> $24
2026-04-23
maintain
NULL
to
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Richard Shane raised the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $24 from $23 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm upped its book value estimate following the company's Q1 report.
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