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NLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
21.260
1 Day change
2.36%
52 Week Range
24.520
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, consistent analyst upgrades, and high dividend yield make it an attractive option for long-term income-focused investors. While technical indicators are neutral, the positive catalysts outweigh the negatives, and the current price level offers a reasonable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating a weak momentum. RSI is at 34.273, which is neutral but close to oversold levels. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. Key support is at 20.841, and resistance is at 22.262. Overall, the technical indicators are neutral, with no strong buy or sell signals.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with significant YoY growth in revenue (+42.15%), net income (+119.04%), and EPS (+79.49%).

  • Consistent analyst upgrades with increased price targets, reflecting confidence in the company's performance.

  • High dividend yield of 11.7%, making it attractive for income-focused investors.

  • Favorable macro environment for mortgage-backed securities and residential finance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders, with no significant trading trends.

  • Neutral technical indicators, suggesting no immediate momentum.

  • No recent news or event-driven catalysts to drive short-term price action.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Annaly Capital reported a 42.15% YoY increase in revenue to $2.4 billion, a 119.04% YoY increase in net income to $971 million, and a 79.49% YoY increase in EPS to 1.4. Gross margin also improved significantly to 44.2%, up 41.80% YoY. These metrics highlight strong growth and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have consistently raised price targets, with the majority maintaining Outperform or Buy ratings. The price target range has increased to $23-$25, reflecting confidence in the company's performance and future prospects. Analysts highlight strong economic returns, favorable macro conditions, and a well-diversified residential finance platform.

Wall Street analysts forecast NLY stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NLY stock price to rise
6 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 21.260
sliders
Low
21.5
Averages
23.09
High
25
Current: 21.260
sliders
Low
21.5
Averages
23.09
High
25
RBC Capital
Kenneth Lee
Outperform
maintain
$23 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
Reason
RBC Capital
Kenneth Lee
Price Target
$23 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Kenneth Lee raised the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $25 from $23 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings beat. Strong economic returns in the quarter were a highlight, with MBS spreads tightening considerably, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Barclays
Terry Ma
Equal Weight
maintain
$23 -> $24
2026-01-30
Reason
Barclays
Terry Ma
Price Target
$23 -> $24
2026-01-30
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Terry Ma raised the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $24 from $23 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm views the company's Q4 report as solid.
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