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NLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
22.500
1 Day change
1.40%
52 Week Range
24.520
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong Q4 financial performance, favorable analyst ratings with upward price target revisions, and a solid dividend yield of 11.7% make it an attractive option. While the pre-market price shows a slight decline, technical indicators and options sentiment suggest stability and potential for long-term growth.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating a positive trend. The MACD histogram is above 0 and positively contracting, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward momentum. RSI is neutral at 42.323, and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 22.989, with support at 22.656 and resistance at 23.321.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with significant YoY growth in revenue (+42.15%), net income (+119.04%), and EPS (+79.49%).

  • Favorable macro environment for agency MBS REITs, with tightening spreads and improved mortgage origination market.

  • Analysts have consistently raised price targets to $25, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential.

  • High dividend yield of 11.7%, attractive for long-term investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Slight pre-market decline (-0.04%) and broader market weakness (S&P 500 down 0.7%).

  • No recent significant hedge fund or insider trading activity, indicating neutral sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Annaly Capital reported a 42.15% YoY increase in revenue to $2.4 billion, a 119.04% YoY increase in net income to $971 million, and a 79.49% YoY increase in EPS to 1.4. Gross margin also improved significantly by 41.8% to 44.2%. These results highlight strong operational performance and growth potential.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on NLY, with multiple firms raising price targets to $25 and maintaining favorable ratings (Outperform, Overweight, Buy). Analysts highlight strong economic returns, tightening MBS spreads, and a well-diversified residential finance platform as key strengths.

Wall Street analysts forecast NLY stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NLY stock price to rise
6 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 22.190
sliders
Low
21.5
Averages
23.09
High
25
Current: 22.190
sliders
Low
21.5
Averages
23.09
High
25
RBC Capital
Kenneth Lee
Outperform
maintain
$23 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
Reason
RBC Capital
Kenneth Lee
Price Target
$23 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Kenneth Lee raised the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $25 from $23 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings beat. Strong economic returns in the quarter were a highlight, with MBS spreads tightening considerably, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Barclays
Terry Ma
Equal Weight
maintain
$23 -> $24
2026-01-30
Reason
Barclays
Terry Ma
Price Target
$23 -> $24
2026-01-30
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Terry Ma raised the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $24 from $23 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm views the company's Q4 report as solid.
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