NLY Price Prediction Next Week
Based on the recent data and analysis, here's the price prediction for NLY for the next trading week:
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators show:
- RSI at 65.49 indicates slightly overbought conditions but not extreme
- MACD at 0.41 suggests positive momentum
- Current price at $20.20 is trading above both SMA-20 ($19.62) and SMA-200 ($19.22), indicating bullish trend
- Fibonacci levels show immediate resistance at $20.62 and support at $19.68
Analyst Sentiment Recent analyst actions show mixed but generally positive sentiment:
- Wells Fargo maintains Buy rating with $23.00 target
- RBC Capital raised target to $22.00
- Barclays holds Equal-Weight rating with $19.00 target
- JP Morgan raised target to $21.00
News Impact
- Strong Q4 2024 earnings with distribution of 72c vs 67c consensus
- Pre-earnings options activity suggested market anticipation of 1.5% price movement
- Institutional sentiment remains positive with multiple buy ratings
Price Prediction for Next Week Based on technical and fundamental factors:
- Base case (60% probability): $20.40-20.80
- Bullish case (25% probability): $20.80-21.10
- Bearish case (15% probability): $19.70-20.00
Trading Recommendation HOLD current positions or establish small long positions with tight stop loss at $19.68 (Fibonacci S1 level). The stock shows positive momentum but is approaching resistance levels, suggesting limited immediate upside.
NLY Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of NLY is predicted to go up -22.95%, based on the high correlation periods with GENI. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.63%.
NLY
GENI
Down: -22.95%Similarity: 97.63%
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NLY Analyst's Forecast
Richard Shane
JP Morgan
Buy
2025-01-21
Price Target
$20 → $19
Downside
-2.51%
JPMorgan analyst Richard Shane lowered the firm's price target on Annaly Capital to $19 from $20 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares as part of a Q4 earnings preview for the mortgage real estate investment trust group. Commercial real estate borrowers and lenders "have collectively kicked the can down the road," awaiting a more favorable rate environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note. However, the firm says the higher rate outlook "may dampen the budding optimism" that emerged in mid-2024. With the 10-year Treasury rate now projected above 4% until at least 2027, carrying costs will remain elevated and commercial real estate participants may be forced to resolve deals at "undesirable valuations," contends JPMorgan. It views Claros Mortgage Trust's (CMTG) December dividend cut to zero as potentially cautionary for the sector.
Mark Devries
Barclays
Hold
2025-01-06
Price Target
$19
Upside
+1.06%
Richard Shane
JP Morgan
Buy
2024-12-09
Price Target
$21 → $20
Upside
+0.55%
