NLY Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, NLY remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 569.03M and an EPS of 0.73.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.76%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.45%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 10.4% . These revisions correlate with a 12.71% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in NLY long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-3.76%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.45%
In Past 3 Month
Unlock the reason behind revisions!
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+10.4%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+12.71%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
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EPS
Currency: USD
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NLY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NLY sees a +0.25% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.84% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.87%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.92% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 1.88% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of NLY's latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?
NLY reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2026-01-21, showcasing a revenue of 0.00 against an estimate of 469.00M, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.72 by 0% . The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did NLY's stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?
Following NLY's FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2026-01-21, the stock price moved by % on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, NLY's stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.25% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.84% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for NLY for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate NLY’s annual revenue to reach 569.03M, while the EPS is projected at 0.73. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -3.76% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 10.4% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does NLY's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between NLY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -3.76%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 10.4% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from NLY's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, NLY's stock price typically moves by +0.25% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.84% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.73 and revenue of 569.03M.
What is the sentiment in Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased book value, improved efficiency ratio, and stable MSR growth. The Q&A section supports this positive sentiment, highlighting attractive agency returns, strategic portfolio adjustments, and stable pricing. Despite some uncertainties, such as Fed policy shifts, the company's strategic focus on agency investments and MSR opportunities suggests a favorable outlook. Overall, the company's financial health and strategic positioning indicate a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.