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NLY Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Annaly Capital Management Inc(NLY) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Annaly Capital Management Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-22After Hours0.720.73+1.39501.69M275.75M-45.04-1.92-1.13
FY2025Q22025-07-23After Hours0.720.73+1.39237.00M273.20M+15.27+0.54+1.81
FY2025Q12025-04-30After Hours0.710.72+1.41418.52M219.97M-47.44-0.92-2.96
FY2024Q42025-01-29After Hours0.670.72+7.46422.47M187.29M-55.67+3.59+3.95
FY2024Q32024-10-23After Hours0.670.66-1.49407.23M13.40M-96.71+0.77-1.13
FY2024Q22024-07-24-0.660.68+3.03366.62M53.56M-85.39-2.07-1.03
FY2024Q12024-04-24-0.640.64-351.27M-6.45M-101.84-0.32+0.54
FY2023Q42024-02-07-0.640.68+6.25406.15M-53.55M-113.18-1.75-2.86
FY2023Q32023-10-25-0.650.66+1.54426.10M-45.33M-110.64-3.83-0.38
-2023-07-26-0.690.72+4.35---+1.07-2.72
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NLY Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Annaly Capital Management Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-22. The company achieved an EPS of 0.73, compared to analyst estimates of 0.72 by 1.39% . Revenue for the quarter reached 275.75M compared to expectations of 501.69M by -45.04% .
The stock price reacted with a -1.92% one-day change and a -1.13% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Annaly Capital Management Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

NLY Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Annaly Capital Management Inc(NLY) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 579.23M and an EPS of 0.72.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -8.23%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.06%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 12.38% . These revisions correlate with a 3.08% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Annaly Capital Management Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between NLY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-8.23%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.06%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+12.38%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+3.08%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.40B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.90
—
Stock Price22.77
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Financial AI Agent

NLY Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Annaly Capital Management Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-22,After Hours):
EPS: 0.73 (Actual) vs.0.72 (Estimate) (1.39%)
Revenue: 275.75M (Actual) vs. 501.69M (Estimate) (-45.04%)
Price Reaction: -1.92%(1-Day), -1.13%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-23,After Hours):
EPS: 0.73 (Actual) vs.0.72 (Estimate) (1.39%)
Revenue: 273.20M (Actual) vs. 237.00M (Estimate) (15.27%)
Price Reaction: 0.54%(1-Day), 1.81%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,After Hours):
EPS: 0.72 (Actual) vs.0.71 (Estimate) (1.41%)
Revenue: 219.97M (Actual) vs. 418.52M (Estimate) (-47.44%)
Price Reaction: -0.92%(1-Day), -2.96%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NLY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NLY sees a -0.23% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.16% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.67%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.92% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 1.88% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-23
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased book value, improved efficiency ratio, and stable MSR growth. The Q&A section supports this positive sentiment, highlighting attractive agency returns, strategic portfolio adjustments, and stable pricing. Despite some uncertainties, such as Fed policy shifts, the company's strategic focus on agency investments and MSR opportunities suggests a favorable outlook. Overall, the company's financial health and strategic positioning indicate a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-24
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate positive sentiment with strong financial metrics, increased dividends, and a modest economic return. Despite an uncertain market outlook, the company has a diversified portfolio, proactive risk management, and expects to maintain or exceed its dividend. The Q&A reveals confidence in dividend sustainability and economic returns, with no significant negative trends or concerns. The company's strategic decisions and strong liquidity position suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks, likely in the 2% to 8% range.
Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-01
The earnings call summary shows mixed results: increased dividends and economic return are positive, but regulatory risks and housing market challenges pose concerns. The Q&A session reveals cautious management responses, especially regarding housing prices and regulatory impacts. The dividend increase and maintained earnings support a stable outlook, but uncertainties in spreads and leverage limit positive sentiment. With no market cap data, a neutral rating is prudent, balancing positive dividend news against regulatory and housing challenges.
Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-01-31
The earnings call presents strong financial performance with increased EAD, improved net interest spread and margin, and a safe dividend outlook. The partnership with Rocket Mortgage and record correspondent channel volumes indicate strategic growth. Management's responses in the Q&A convey confidence, despite some uncertainties around GSE reform. The positive economic return and strategic capital allocation further support a positive outlook. Overall, these factors suggest a likely stock price increase in the short term.
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-24
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with a 4.9% economic return for Q3 and a 10.5% year-to-date return. Book value per share increased, and there was an improvement in leverage and liquidity management. The Q&A section highlights confidence in dividend sustainability and no signs of stress in securitization data. However, management's lack of clarity on future dividends slightly tempers sentiment. Overall, the positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance on interest rates support a positive outlook.
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-25
The earnings call presents mixed signals: improved net interest spread and margin, but economic return and book value per share have declined. The Q&A reveals some positive sentiment towards strategic moves like replacing swaps with Treasury futures, but concerns about leverage and unclear responses on capital raising weigh in. Despite a dividend increase, the overall financial performance and outlook remain uncertain, leading to a neutral sentiment prediction for the stock.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of NLY’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

NLY reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-22, showcasing a revenue of 275.75M against an estimate of 501.69M, resulting in a -45.04% surprise. The EPS was 0.73, surpassing the expected 0.72 by 1.39% . The stock experienced a -1.92% price change on the earnings day and a -1.13% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did NLY’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following NLY’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-22, the stock price moved by -1.92% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.13% change. Historically, NLY’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.23% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.16% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for NLY for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate NLY’s annual revenue to reach 579.23M, while the EPS is projected at 0.72. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -8.23% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 12.38% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does NLY’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between NLY’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -8.23%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 12.38% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from NLY’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, NLY’s stock price typically moves by -0.23% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.16% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.72 and revenue of 579.23M.
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What is the sentiment in Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased book value, improved efficiency ratio, and stable MSR growth. The Q&A section supports this positive sentiment, highlighting attractive agency returns, strategic portfolio adjustments, and stable pricing. Despite some uncertainties, such as Fed policy shifts, the company's strategic focus on agency investments and MSR opportunities suggests a favorable outlook. Overall, the company's financial health and strategic positioning indicate a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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