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PAG Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Penske Automotive Group Inc(PAG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Penske Automotive Group Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-29Pre-Market3.483.23-7.187.72B7.70B-0.30-1.37-2.50
FY2025Q22025-07-30Pre-Market3.563.78+6.187.73B7.66B-0.82-0.71+0.23
FY2025Q12025-04-30Pre-Market3.273.39+3.677.72B7.60B-1.55-1.22-0.86
FY2024Q42025-02-13Pre-Market3.373.54+5.047.60B7.72B+1.59+6.83+1.99
FY2024Q32024-10-29Pre-Market3.483.39-2.597.67B7.59B-1.06-1.72-2.54
FY2024Q22024-07-31-3.433.61+5.257.57B7.70B+1.61+5.60-1.90
FY2024Q12024-04-30-3.353.19-4.787.48B7.45B-0.45-1.59-0.93
FY2023Q42024-02-07-3.663.45-5.747.21B7.27B+0.87-1.00+0.41
FY2023Q32023-10-25-4.043.90-3.477.25B7.45B+2.66-0.84-0.33
FY2023Q22023-07-26-4.084.41+8.097.13B7.47B+4.73-1.25-1.48
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PAG Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Penske Automotive Group Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 3.23, compared to analyst estimates of 3.48 by -7.18% . Revenue for the quarter reached 7.70B compared to expectations of 7.72B by -0.30% .
The stock price reacted with a -1.37% one-day change and a -2.50% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Penske Automotive Group Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

PAG Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Penske Automotive Group Inc(PAG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 7.65B and an EPS of 3.24.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.4%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -3.2%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.91% . These revisions correlate with a -12.80% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Penske Automotive Group Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between PAG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.4%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.2%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.91%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-12.80%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:30.68B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:13.64
—
Stock Price163.62
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PAG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Penske Automotive Group Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.23 (Actual) vs.3.48 (Estimate) (-7.18%)
Revenue: 7.70B (Actual) vs. 7.72B (Estimate) (-0.30%)
Price Reaction: -1.37%(1-Day), -2.50%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.78 (Actual) vs.3.56 (Estimate) (6.18%)
Revenue: 7.66B (Actual) vs. 7.73B (Estimate) (-0.82%)
Price Reaction: -0.71%(1-Day), 0.23%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.39 (Actual) vs.3.27 (Estimate) (3.67%)
Revenue: 7.60B (Actual) vs. 7.72B (Estimate) (-1.55%)
Price Reaction: -1.22%(1-Day), -0.86%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how PAG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PAG sees a +1.70% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.73% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.15% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.04% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-10-29
The earnings call highlights several challenges: declining revenue in key segments, increased bad debt, and a lack of improvement in freight rates. Although there are positive aspects like improved debt ratios and some growth in parts and service, these are overshadowed by weak financial performance and lack of clarity on future recovery. The Q&A reveals uncertainty in freight recovery and challenges in replicating successful models in the U.S., further supporting a negative sentiment. Given these factors, a stock price decline between -2% to -8% is expected.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-30
The earnings call summary highlights record revenue, stable gross margins, and a significant dividend increase, all positive indicators. The Q&A reveals some concerns, such as divestitures impacting sales and unresolved tariff issues, but these are mitigated by resumed sales and a strong outlook for service operations. The positive sentiment is further supported by strategic capital allocation plans and tax benefits. Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment remains positive, especially with share repurchases and dividend hikes, likely leading to a positive stock price movement.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with increased revenue, net income, and EPS, alongside a dividend increase and share repurchases, which are positive indicators. The Q&A section highlights sustainable improvements in the UK market and effective cost management, though some uncertainties remain. The freight recession and potential tariff impacts pose risks, but overall, the company's strategic moves, including acquisitions and international expansion, suggest a positive outlook. The market is likely to react positively to the dividend increase and financial growth, outweighing the economic pressures.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call revealed mixed signals. Financial performance was steady with slight revenue growth and increased EPS, but concerns remain over freight recession impacts and unclear management responses. The dividend increase and share repurchase are positive, but economic uncertainties and inventory challenges offset these gains. The sentiment from the Q&A section was cautious, with concerns over market conditions and cost impacts. Overall, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term, resulting in a neutral outlook.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-30
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased revenue, net income, and EPS. The dividend increase and share repurchase plan are positive indicators for shareholder returns. Despite some operational risks, such as used vehicle sales decline in the UK and labor shortages, the company shows resilience with strategic acquisitions and international expansion. The Q&A section reveals positive sentiment towards inventory management and pricing strategy. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-13
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant increases in revenue, net income, and EPS. The dividend increase and share repurchase program indicate a solid shareholder return strategy. Despite some uncertainties in the used car market and commercial truck demand, the overall outlook remains optimistic. The Q&A section did not reveal significant negative trends, and the company's strategic acquisitions bolster future growth prospects. Therefore, the stock price is likely to experience a positive movement over the next two weeks.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-29
The earnings call summary reveals strong financial performance, including record revenues and increased dividends. The Q&A highlights challenges like stop sales but shows management's confidence in maintaining high margins. The company's strategic acquisitions and international expansion further bolster its outlook. Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment is positive, likely leading to a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-31
The earnings call summary indicates stable financial performance with growth in automotive and PTS segments. The company is actively managing debt and cash flow, and has increased dividends and share repurchases, which are positive signals for investors. The Q&A section reveals confidence in acquisitions and strategic positioning, with management addressing concerns about interest rates and market conditions. Despite some unclear responses, the overall sentiment remains optimistic, particularly with the sequential increase in PTS earnings and positive outlook for the second half. Therefore, a positive stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of PAG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

PAG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 7.70B against an estimate of 7.72B, resulting in a -0.3% surprise. The EPS was 3.23, surpassing the expected 3.48 by -7.18% . The stock experienced a -1.37% price change on the earnings day and a -2.5% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did PAG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following PAG’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -1.37% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.50% change. Historically, PAG’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.70% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.73% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PAG for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate PAG’s annual revenue to reach 7.65B, while the EPS is projected at 3.24. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.4% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.91% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does PAG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between PAG’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.4%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.91% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from PAG’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, PAG’s stock price typically moves by +1.70% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.73% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.24 and revenue of 7.65B.
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What is the sentiment in Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights several challenges: declining revenue in key segments, increased bad debt, and a lack of improvement in freight rates. Although there are positive aspects like improved debt ratios and some growth in parts and service, these are overshadowed by weak financial performance and lack of clarity on future recovery. The Q&A reveals uncertainty in freight recovery and challenges in replicating successful models in the U.S., further supporting a negative sentiment. Given these factors, a stock price decline between -2% to -8% is expected.
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