The chart below shows how ONTO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ONTO sees a -0.97% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.17% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.09%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Quarterly Revenue Surge: Record quarterly revenue of $264 million in Q4, representing a 21% increase year-over-year and a 5% increase sequentially from Q3.
Gross Margin Improvement: Gross margins improved to nearly 55% in Q4, achieving a 300 basis point improvement since the beginning of the year.
Metrology Revenue Surge: Metrology revenue in Advanced Packaging exceeded $50 million for the year, more than tripling from 2023, indicating strong customer adoption of front-end metrology tools.
AI Inspection Tool Revenue Growth: AI Packaging inspection tool revenue more than doubled for the year, with a growth rate of 180% over 2023, surpassing initial targets.
Strong Financial Performance: Operating income grew by 37% for the full year, with cash from operations and EPS both achieving 43% growth, reflecting strong financial performance.
Negative
Software Revenue Decline: Fourth quarter software and services revenue decreased by 4% compared to Q3, indicating a decline in this segment's performance.
Decline in Operating Cash Flow: Operating cash flow for Q4 was $56,000,000, down from previous record levels in Q2 and Q3, reflecting a decrease in operational efficiency.
Operating Expenses Surge: Fourth quarter operating expenses reached $68,000,000, at the high end of guidance, suggesting increased costs that may impact profitability.
Financial Strain from M&A: Despite achieving a gross margin of 55% in Q4, merger and acquisition-related expenses and restructuring charges were incurred, indicating financial strain from recent corporate actions.
Inventory Decline Analysis: Inventory levels ended at $287,000,000, down $21,000,000 from Q3, but the decline in inventory may signal reduced demand or operational challenges.
Earnings call transcript: Onto Innovation beats Q4 2024 expectations
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