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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
220.61M
-12.53%
0.900
-32.84%
257.57M
-2.41%
1.274
-15.61%
254.58M
-4.51%
1.265
-16.23%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.32% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 11.95%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.32%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-1.3%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+11.95%
In Past 3 Month
8 Analyst Rating
0Wall Street analysts forecast ONTO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ONTO is 134.63 USD with a low forecast of 90.00 USD and a high forecast of 190.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
0Current: 104.660
Low
90.00
Averages
134.63
High
190.00
0Current: 104.660
Low
90.00
Averages
134.63
High
190.00
B. Riley
B. Riley
Buy
downgrade
$160 -> $145
2025-08-08
New
Reason
B. Riley
B. Riley
Price Target
$160 -> $145
2025-08-08
New
downgrade
Buy
Reason
B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Onto Innovation to $145 from $160 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's Q2 reported was mixed versus consensus with higher sales and lower earnings due to below the line items, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Riley believes the shares are in "show me" territory and are attractive into a revenue re-acceleration in fiscal Q4.
Oppenheimer
Edward Yang
Outperform
initiated
$100
2025-07-02
Reason
Oppenheimer
Edward Yang
Price Target
$100
2025-07-02
initiated
Outperform
Reason
As previously reported, Oppenheimer analyst Edward Yang initiated coverage of Camtek (CAMT) with an Outperform rating and $100 price target. Camtek is most lauded for high-resolution 3D inspection tools that boost AI chip yields by precisely measuring micro-bumps in high-bandwidth memory stacks and chiplets, but it's growing in 2D inspection, where Onto Innovation (ONTO) leads. Both have felt valuation impacts from short-term HBM over-investment, with Camtek down 40% from its peak, despite 2024's 36% revenue growth. Encouragingly, Oppenheimer notes that Camtek still expects to grow "well above" the broader chip equipment market in 2025, and investor expectations for 8% growth in 2026 are easier.
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
downgrade
$110 -> $90
2025-06-24
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Price Target
$110 -> $90
2025-06-24
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald lowered the firm's price target on Onto Innovation to $90 from $110 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Cantor expects Onto to continue facing headwinds over the next 3-6 months, with likely downside to second half numbers and lack of catalysts ahead of the company's next-gen Dragonfly ramp, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Jefferies
Blayne Curtis
Buy -> Hold
downgrade
$135 -> $110
2025-05-20
Reason
Jefferies
Blayne Curtis
Price Target
$135 -> $110
2025-05-20
downgrade
Buy -> Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis downgraded Onto Innovation to Hold from Buy with a price target of $110, down from $135. The firm believes the drivers of the artificial intelligence packaging correction are likely to extend through 2026, leaving Onto's 2027 as a "show-me story based upon regaining share." The company's path to return to double-digit growth is "anything but certain" with risk that the chip-on-wafer-on-substrate opportunity is permanently impaired, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Stifel
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$165 -> $117
2025-05-09
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
$165 -> $117
2025-05-09
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Stifel downgraded Onto Innovation to Hold from Buy with a price target of $117, down from $165, post the Q1 report. The company's Advanced Packaging revenue is operating at a much lower revenue baseline than anticipated due to increased competition, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees the stock range bound while Onto attempts to stabilize share in logic Advance Packaging.
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Outperform
downgrade
$150 -> $130
2025-05-09
Reason
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Price Target
$150 -> $130
2025-05-09
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer lowered the firm's price target on Onto Innovation to $130 from $150 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes the company reported record Q1 revenue of $267M and EPS of $1.51, beating expectations. However, Oppenheimer's February concern around intensifying competition materialized, as the large platform player exploited a temporary gap in ultra-high sensitivity 2.5D inspection, challenging Onto's dominant AI packaging share. This shifts the share dynamic to a two-way story, although Onto plans to plug the hole with next-gen platforms evals shipping in the second half of 2025, which may also unlock longer-term upside in front-end macro inspection, supplementing gains in films, integrated metrology, and possibly 3Di bump.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Onto Innovation Inc (ONTO.N) is 21.53, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 22.76. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Onto Innovation Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PE
22.76
Current PE
21.53
Overvalued PE
30.57
Undervalued PE
14.94
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
17.54
Current EV/EBITDA
15.57
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
24.38
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
10.70
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
Fair
5Y Average PS
5.66
Current PS
5.06
Overvalued PS
7.92
Undervalued PS
3.41
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 6781.21% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 6781.21% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
ONTO News & Events
Events Timeline
(ET)
2025-08-07
16:47:27
Onto Innovation sees Q3 EPS 75c-95c, consensus $1.02
2025-08-07
16:46:46
Onto Innovation reports Q2 EPS $1.25, consensus $1.28
2025-07-29 (ET)
2025-07-29
09:07:36
Multibeam raises $31M in Series B funds
Sign Up For More Events
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News
Preview
7.0
08-08SeekingAlphaOnto Innovation anticipates 50% AI packaging revenue surge in Q4 2025 while advancing Semilab acquisition
Preview
3.0
08-01NASDAQ.COMValidea's Top Information Technology Stocks Based On Martin Zweig - 8/1/2025
Preview
8.5
07-29NewsfilterMultibeam Secures $31 Million in Series B Financing to Accelerate Global Deployment of E-Beam Lithography Production Solutions
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