MUR Valuation

Murphy Oil Corp

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25.590

-1.37(-5.082%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MUR Relative Valuation

MUR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MUR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.37 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 6.65. The fair price of Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) is between 53.02 to 64.56 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 26.96 USD , Murphy Oil Corp is Undervalued By 49.15%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

53.02-64.56

Current Price：26.96

49.15%

Undervalued

16.57

Trailing

Forward

4.12

EV/EBITDA

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.12. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.91, Undervalued between 2.91 and 3.51, Fairly Valued between 4.71 and 3.51, Overvalued between 4.71 and 5.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.32. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.81

EV/EBIT

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.81. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.21. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -18.26, Undervalued between -18.26 and -3.02, Fairly Valued between 27.45 and -3.02, Overvalued between 27.45 and 42.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 42.69. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.81 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.43

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) has a current PS of 1.43. The 5-year average PS is 1.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.78, Undervalued between 0.78 and 1.15, Fairly Valued between 1.89 and 1.15, Overvalued between 1.89 and 2.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.25. The current Forward PS of 1.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.71

P/OCF

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) has a current P/OCF of 2.71. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.53, Undervalued between 1.53 and 2.14, Fairly Valued between 3.35 and 2.14, Overvalued between 3.35 and 3.96, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.96. The current Forward P/OCF of 2.71 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.23

P/FCF

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) has a current P/FCF of 9.23. The 5-year average P/FCF is 7.21. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.87, Undervalued between 2.87 and 5.04, Fairly Valued between 9.38 and 5.04, Overvalued between 9.38 and 11.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.54. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.23 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.11 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -32.16% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.02, the current P/B ratio is about -25.84% higher. Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 16.14%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 15.27%, the current FCF yield is approximately 5.73% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 11.16% , the current FCF yield is about 44.65% lower.

0.75

P/B

Median3y

1.11

Median5y

1.02

15.55

FCF Yield

Median3y

15.27

Median5y

11.16

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MUR's competitors is 7.82, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Murphy Oil Corp Corp (MUR) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.43, which is -81.77% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -15.36%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp

Northern Oil and Gas Inc

1.32

8.50%

2.82B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MUR decreased by 34.85% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from 14.53 to 13.39.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -11.64%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MUR in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-15.36%

794.85M → 672.73M

Revenue Growth

-7.85%

14.53 → 13.39

Margin Expansion

-11.64%

11.61 → 10.26

P/E Change

-34.85%