Should You Buy Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
MUR is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. Price is sitting just below the pivot (31.981) with weakening momentum (MACD histogram negative and expanding), and near-term statistical patterning also leans bearish (expected drift lower over 1 week/1 month). While news flow is operationally positive (Vietnam appraisal, production/cost control, shareholder returns), the options tape is aggressively put-skewed on volume and implied volatility is elevated, suggesting traders are positioning defensively into the near term. With Wall Street largely Neutral-to-Underweight and multiple targets clustered in the mid-20s to low-30s, the risk/reward at ~31.45 pre-market does not justify an immediate entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bearish-to-neutral. MACD histogram is -0.169 (below zero) and negatively expanding, indicating downside momentum is building. RSI(6) at 42.674 is neutral but tilted weak (not oversold, so downside can continue). Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation, but momentum is currently pointing down.
Levels: Pivot 31.981 is immediate overhead resistance; failure to reclaim it keeps the short-term bias weak. Key support is S1 30.525, then S2 29.626. Upside resistance levels are R1 33.436 and R2 34.335.
Price context: Pre-market ~31.45 is below pivot and closer to support than to meaningful resistance, which is not ideal for an impatient long entry.
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