Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Murphy Oil Corp(MUR) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Murphy Oil Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-11-05 | After Hours | 0.16 | 0.41 | +156.25 | 671.24M | 732.99M | +9.20 | +5.31 | +12.08 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-08-06 | After Hours | 0.21 | 0.27 | +28.57 | 632.25M | 695.57M | +10.02 | -3.26 | -1.78 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-05-07 | After Hours | 0.48 | 0.56 | +16.67 | 668.86M | 665.71M | -0.47 | +1.81 | +11.10 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-01-30 | Pre-Market | 0.59 | 0.35 | -40.68 | 734.27M | 670.96M | -8.62 | -5.86 | -8.57 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-08-08 | Pre-Market | 0.73 | 0.81 | +10.96 | 796.81M | 802.77M | +0.75 | +0.90 | +0.11 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-02 | - | 0.82 | 0.85 | +3.66 | 742.59M | 796.41M | +7.25 | +0.09 | +0.95 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-01-25 | - | 1.03 | 0.90 | -12.62 | 850.90M | 844.20M | -0.79 | -0.29 | +0.75 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-11-02 | - | 1.38 | 1.59 | +15.22 | 908.89M | 959.65M | +5.58 | +2.97 | -4.62 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-08-03 | - | 0.74 | 0.79 | +6.76 | 781.18M | 814.59M | +4.28 | +3.56 | +6.94 |
| - | 2023-05-03 | - | 0.95 | 1.24 | +30.53 | - | - | - | -0.32 | +0.79 |
MUR Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Murphy Oil Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 0.41, compared to analyst estimates of 0.16 by 156.25% . Revenue for the quarter reached 732.99M compared to expectations of 671.24M by 9.20% .
The stock price reacted with a 5.31% one-day change and a 12.08% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Murphy Oil Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
MUR Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Murphy Oil Corp(MUR) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 639.12M and an EPS of 0.06.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.29%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 7.41%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -2.41% . These revisions correlate with a 30.37% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Murphy Oil Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between MUR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+2.29%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+7.41%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-2.41%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+30.37%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.73B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.29
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Stock Price32.50
MUR Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Murphy Oil Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.41 (Actual) vs.0.16 (Estimate) (156.25%)
Revenue: 732.99M (Actual) vs. 671.24M (Estimate) (9.20%)
Price Reaction: 5.31%(1-Day), 12.08%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.27 (Actual) vs.0.21 (Estimate) (28.57%)
Revenue: 695.57M (Actual) vs. 632.25M (Estimate) (10.02%)
Price Reaction: -3.26%(1-Day), -1.78%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.56 (Actual) vs.0.48 (Estimate) (16.67%)
Revenue: 665.71M (Actual) vs. 668.86M (Estimate) (-0.47%)
Price Reaction: 1.81%(1-Day), 11.10%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MUR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MUR sees a +5.71% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.41% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.07%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 5.31% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 14.34% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-07
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Strong operational improvements and strategic exploration plans are positive, but concerns about declining production in key areas and less aggressive share buybacks are negative. The Q&A reveals management's caution in providing specific guidance, which may unsettle investors. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no significant catalysts to drive the stock price in either direction.
Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call highlights strong operational performance, including better-than-expected CapEx and lease operating expenses, significant cash cost savings, and robust well productivity. The company is focused on shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends, contributing positively to sentiment. The Q&A session reveals resolved operational challenges and promising exploration prospects, particularly in Côte d'Ivoire and Vietnam. Despite some uncertainties and lower-than-expected Canadian production, the overall sentiment is positive, with strong financial metrics and a strategic focus on high-impact exploration.
Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-08
The earnings call reveals strong financial health, production growth, and shareholder returns, with a strategic focus on exploration and debt reduction. The Q&A section highlights positive management sentiment towards exploration and production prospects, despite some uncertainties. The company's commitment to shareholder returns and production expansion, coupled with a positive revenue increase, suggests a positive stock price reaction. However, some concerns about market volatility and exploration risks slightly temper the outlook, resulting in a positive rather than strong positive sentiment.
Murphy Oil Corp (MUR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-01-31
The earnings call reveals a decrease in key financial metrics like net income, EBITDA, and revenue due to operational challenges. Despite increased liquidity and shareholder returns, production issues and unclear management responses in the Q&A raise concerns. The optimistic guidance and increased reserves offer some positives, but overall, the negative trends and uncertainties, particularly around CapEx and operational issues, suggest a negative stock price movement.
Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with increased net income, adjusted EBITDA, and revenue. The company is actively repurchasing shares, enhancing shareholder returns. Despite some operational challenges, particularly with Terra Nova, management's optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives, such as the Vietnam exploration, are positive. The Q&A reveals management's focus on growth and efficiency, with analysts seeming cautiously optimistic. Overall, the positive financial metrics, share repurchase increase, and exploration prospects outweigh concerns, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-08
The earnings call summary provides a mixed picture. Positive aspects include strong revenue growth, increased share repurchase authorization, and a commitment to debt reduction. However, operational downtime, exploration risks, and lower-end production guidance offset these positives. The Q&A section reveals management's reluctance to directly address certain risks, adding uncertainty. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positive financial metrics and shareholder returns are balanced by operational and exploration concerns.
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FAQ
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