Technical Analysis:
TENB closed at $38.37 on Friday with a trading volume of 1,458,985 shares. The stock is currently showing bearish signals based on technical indicators:
- RSI (14) at 36.60 indicates approaching oversold territory
- MACD is negative at -0.74 with bearish divergence
- Stock trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day)
- Bollinger Bands show price near lower band (35.25), suggesting potential oversold conditions
News & Fundamental Analysis:
Recent key developments:
- Company completed Vulcan Cyber acquisition and updated 2025 guidance
- Q1 2025 EPS guidance of $0.26-$0.27, below consensus of $0.29
- FY2025 revenue guidance raised to $975M-$985M from previous $971M-$981M
- Multiple analysts have raised price targets:
- Barclays: $48 (from $45)
- DA Davidson: $45 (from $40)
- Baird: $52 (from $50)
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels and technical indicators:
- Support levels: $38.55, $37.90, $36.84
- Resistance levels: $40.66, $41.31, $42.36
Expected price range: $37.90-$40.66
Trading Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Weakening technical indicators
- Below consensus Q1 guidance
- Price showing weakness despite positive analyst actions
- Volume declining on recent price movements suggesting lack of buying conviction
Target exit price: $38.55 (first Fibonacci support)
Stop loss: $40.66 (first Fibonacci resistance)
Technical Analysis:
TENB closed at $38.37 on Friday with a trading volume of 1,458,985 shares. The stock is currently showing bearish signals based on technical indicators:
- RSI (14) at 36.60 indicates approaching oversold territory
- MACD is negative at -0.74 with bearish divergence
- Stock trading below all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day)
- Bollinger Bands show price near lower band (35.25), suggesting potential oversold conditions
News & Fundamental Analysis:
Recent key developments:
- Company completed Vulcan Cyber acquisition and updated 2025 guidance
- Q1 2025 EPS guidance of $0.26-$0.27, below consensus of $0.29
- FY2025 revenue guidance raised to $975M-$985M from previous $971M-$981M
- Multiple analysts have raised price targets:
- Barclays: $48 (from $45)
- DA Davidson: $45 (from $40)
- Baird: $52 (from $50)
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels and technical indicators:
- Support levels: $38.55, $37.90, $36.84
- Resistance levels: $40.66, $41.31, $42.36
Expected price range: $37.90-$40.66
Trading Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Weakening technical indicators
- Below consensus Q1 guidance
- Price showing weakness despite positive analyst actions
- Volume declining on recent price movements suggesting lack of buying conviction
Target exit price: $38.55 (first Fibonacci support)
Stop loss: $40.66 (first Fibonacci resistance)