MGY Relative Valuation
MGY's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MGY is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 13.76 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 9.39. The fair price of Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is between 13.76 to 22.13 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 23.49 USD , Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is Overvalued By 6.13%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
13.76-22.13
Current Price：23.49
6.13%
Overvalued
13.71
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
4.87
EV/EBITDA
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.87. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.19. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.69, Undervalued between 2.69 and 3.44, Fairly Valued between 4.94 and 3.44, Overvalued between 4.94 and 5.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.69. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.87 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
11.02
EV/EBIT
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.02. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 6.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.12, Undervalued between 2.12 and 4.54, Fairly Valued between 9.40 and 4.54, Overvalued between 9.40 and 11.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.82. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.02 falls within the Overvalued range.
3.28
PS
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) has a current PS of 3.28. The 5-year average PS is 2.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.78, Undervalued between 1.78 and 2.36, Fairly Valued between 3.51 and 2.36, Overvalued between 3.51 and 4.09, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.09. The current Forward PS of 3.28 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
4.82
P/OCF
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) has a current P/OCF of 4.82. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.55, Undervalued between 2.55 and 3.40, Fairly Valued between 5.10 and 3.40, Overvalued between 5.10 and 5.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.95. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.82 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
10.98
P/FCF
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp. (MGY) has a current P/FCF of 10.98. The 5-year average P/FCF is 8.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.46, Undervalued between 3.46 and 6.06, Fairly Valued between 11.27 and 6.06, Overvalued between 11.27 and 13.87, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.87. The current Forward P/FCF of 10.98 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.21. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.49 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -11.18% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.16, the current P/B ratio is about -30.04% higher. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 12.18%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 12.25% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
2.21
P/B
Median3y
2.49
Median5y
3.16
9.47
FCF Yield
Median3y
12.18
Median5y
12.25
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for MGY's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Corp (MGY) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -2.46%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of MGY increased by 1.47% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 10.15 to 13.01.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -2.46%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of MGY in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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FAQ
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