Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MESO has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
MESO stock price ended at $15.62 on Friday, after rising26.58%
The Mesoblast Ltd stock price increased by 26.58% on the last trading day (18 Jul 2025), rising from 15.41 to 15.62. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 8.00% , ranging from a day low of $14.87 to a day high of 16.06. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 46.25% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.53M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.03M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 30.83M.
MESO Technical Signals
MESO(Mesoblast Ltd Corp) has 7 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-05-06. The total price change during this trend is +13.42%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of MESO over the last 5 trading days is 2.62M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
MESO Moving Average Analysis
Mesoblast Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, July 19, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $12.81, and $13.71. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $9.88, and $8.97. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MESO Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Mesoblast Ltd(MESO) as of 16 Jul 2025 is 22.95%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 10.96 to 11.35. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
7
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
7 Bullish Signals
7 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.167
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.48
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0447
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
12.34
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Mesoblast Ltd (MESO) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Mesoblast Ltd Stock Forecast 2026
MESO Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Mesoblast Ltd(MESO), our algorithm predicts MESO's 1-month price at $10.66, with an -4.01%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.15%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Mesoblast Ltd (MESO.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 13, 2025 , forecasts a -4.01% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AFG.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.15%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MESO
No Data
AFG
Down: -4.01%Similarity: 90.15%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
AFG.N
90.15%
-4.01%
MESO Seasonality Analysis
Based on MESO's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MESO. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Mesoblast Ltd (MESO.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while June has the lowest probability (18.18%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Mesoblast Ltd. (MESO)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Mesoblast Ltd (MESO.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MESO has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Mesoblast Ltd (MESO.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Mesoblast Ltd (MESO.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while June has the lowest probability (18.18%).
How has Mesoblast Ltd. (MESO)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MESO's stock price fell by -62.59% in 2023,increased by 816.67% in 2024, and went down by 24.21%in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does MESO have?
Bullish technical signals of MESO include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1, Price crosses above 250-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA, 10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA.
Is MESO a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MESO has 7 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MESO is Strong buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MESO.
What is the trend of Mesoblast Ltd (MESO)'s moving average?
Mesoblast Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of July 19 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MESO stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Mesoblast Ltd (MESO.O) stock, as of July 13 2025, forecasts a -4.01% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AFG stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.15%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for MESO Stock?
MESO stock is predicted to reach **$12.50** by year-end 2025, driven by FDA approval of Ryoncil and strong cash reserves. The stock may face short-term volatility due to recent declines but has potential for upside with upcoming catalysts.
What is price prediction 2030 for MESO Stock?
MESO stock could reach **$25 by 2030**, driven by its FDA-approved Ryoncil treatment and biologic exclusivity until December 2036. The company's strong cash position and expanding product pipeline further support long-term growth.