The chart below shows how MESO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MESO sees a +1.58% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.47% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.23%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Allogeneic Cellular Medicines: Mesoblast is a global leader in allogeneic cellular medicines for inflammatory diseases, with one FDA-approved product, RYONCIL, and two other major products in Phase III.
Strong Patent Portfolio: The company has a strong patent portfolio with over 1,000 patents and patent applications supporting its products.
High Response Rates in GVHD: RYONCIL has shown high overall response rates of 70% at day 28 in its Phase 3 trial, significantly higher than other therapies for acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD).
First Off-the-Shelf GVHD Therapy: RYONCIL is the first FDA-approved off-the-shelf therapy for children aged two months and older with steroid-refractory acute GVHD, addressing a critical unmet need.
Strong Cash Position: The company has a robust financial position with a cash balance of USD 38 million and pro forma cash of approximately USD 200 million after a successful global private placement.
Inventory Asset Recognition: The FDA approval of RYONCIL led to a reversal of a $23 million provision against inventory, now recognized as an asset on the balance sheet.
Patient Outcome Benefits: RYONCIL's total benefits for patient outcomes are estimated between $3.2 million to $4.1 million, based on health economic models.
Pediatric GVHD Treatment Launch: RYONCIL is set to be available for pediatric GVHD in the U.S. in March, with a targeted launch strategy focusing on high-volume transplant centers.
Expansion into Inflammatory Bowel Disease: The company is expanding RYONCIL's use into inflammatory bowel disease, targeting a significant patient population that is often refractory to current therapies.
Long-Term Survival Benefits: RYONCIL has demonstrated long-term survival benefits, with a two-year survival rate of 51% in patients with severe GVHD, significantly better than expected outcomes with other therapies.
Second-Generation Technology Advancement: The company is advancing its second-generation technology, rexlemestrocel, for chronic inflammatory low back pain and ischemic heart failure, with promising Phase III trial results showing significant pain reduction and potential for opioid-sparing effects.
Negative
Significant After-Tax Loss: The company reported a significant loss after tax of USD 47.9 million for the half year, indicating ongoing financial challenges despite FDA approval of RYONCIL.
Operational Cash Expenditure: Net operating cash spend was USD 20.7 million for the first half of FY 2025, which, while a reduction from the previous year, still reflects high operational costs.
Non-Cash Balance Sheet Adjustments: The increase in contingent consideration and warrant liability due to FDA approval resulted in non-cash balance sheet adjustments, which may not reflect actual cash flow improvements.
Revenue Dependency Concerns: The company has a high dependency on the success of RYONCIL, with a limited number of approved products currently on the market, raising concerns about revenue diversification.
Limited Market Potential: Despite the approval of RYONCIL, the addressable market is relatively small, with only about 375 new children per year in the U.S. suffering from steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease.
RYONCIL Launch Uncertainties: The company is still in the early stages of launching RYONCIL, which may lead to uncertainties in revenue generation and market penetration.
Product Dependency Risks: The reliance on a single product for a significant portion of revenue poses risks if market adoption does not meet expectations.
Mesoblast Limited (NASDAQ:MESO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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