MESA Valuation

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0.000

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MESA Relative Valuation

MESA's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MESA is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.07 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 1.70. The fair price of Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) is between 1.37 to 6.51 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 1.18 USD , Mesa Air Group Inc is Undervalued By 13.69%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

1.37-6.51

Current Price：1.18

13.69%

Undervalued

1.66

Trailing

Forward

0.78

EV/EBITDA

Mesa Air Group Inc. (MESA) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.78. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 5.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.54, Undervalued between 0.54 and 3.11, Fairly Valued between 8.25 and 3.11, Overvalued between 8.25 and 10.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.82. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.78 falls within the Undervalued range.

1.60

EV/EBIT

Mesa Air Group Inc. (MESA) has a current EV/EBIT of 1.60. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -13.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -252.78, Undervalued between -252.78 and -133.04, Fairly Valued between 106.43 and -133.04, Overvalued between 106.43 and 226.17, and Strongly Overvalued above 226.17. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 1.60 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.07

Mesa Air Group Inc. (MESA) has a current PS of 0.07. The 5-year average PS is 0.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.17, Undervalued between -0.17 and 0.03, Fairly Valued between 0.43 and 0.03, Overvalued between 0.43 and 0.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.62. The current Forward PS of 0.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Mesa Air Group Inc. (MESA) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.07. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.43, Undervalued between -0.43 and -0.18, Fairly Valued between 0.32 and -0.18, Overvalued between 0.32 and 0.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.57. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Mesa Air Group Inc. (MESA) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is -0.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.42, Undervalued between -0.42 and -0.24, Fairly Valued between 0.14 and -0.24, Overvalued between 0.14 and 0.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.32. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -1.15. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.18 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -754.57% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.30, the current P/B ratio is about -479.02% higher. Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -79.29%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -73.79%, the current FCF yield is approximately 7.47% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -26.16% , the current FCF yield is about 203.14% lower.

-1.15

P/B

Median3y

0.18

Median5y

0.30

-79.29

FCF Yield

Median3y

-73.79

Median5y

-26.16

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MESA's competitors is 0.26, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Mesa Air Group Inc Corp (MESA) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.07, which is -72.13% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -16.25%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Spirit Aviation Holdings Inc

New Century Logistics (BVI) Ltd

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc

0.98

136.29%

113.83M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MESA decreased by 4.07% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -0.08 to -0.26.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -16.25%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MESA in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-16.25%

110.79M → 92.78M

Revenue Growth

-225.10%

-17.97 → 22.48

Margin Expansion

237.28%

-0.08 → -0.26

P/E Change

-4.07%