MESA Stock Price Prediction
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Should I Buy Mesa Air Group Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MESA has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
MESA stock price ended at $20.4885 on Thursday, after rising 0.71%
The Mesa Air Group Inc stock price increased by 0.71% on the last trading day (04 Dec 2025), rising from 20.7 to 21. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 9.18% , ranging from a day low of $20.25 to a day high of 22.1085. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -11.39% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -15.77K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 17.78K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 366.92K.
MESA Technical Signals
MESA(Mesa Air Group Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is a downtrend starting from 2025-11-11. The total price change during this trend is -17.16%. Recently, the price has increased while volume droped, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of MESA over the last 5 trading days is 355.67K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
MESA Moving Average Analysis
Mesa Air Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, December 5, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $1.78, and $1.94. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $1.28, and $1.12. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MESA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Mesa Air Group Inc(MESA) as of 24 Nov 2025 is 657.25%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 20.85 to 21.00. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.0573
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0263
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
11.397
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.18
Bearish
MESA Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Mesa Air Group Inc Stock Forecast 2026
MESA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Mesa Air Group Inc(MESA), our algorithm predicts MESA's 1-month price at $25.43, with an 21.95%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.18%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA.O) stock, as of Monday, November 24, 2025 , forecasts a 21.95% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IRD.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.18%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MESA
No Data
IRD
Up: 21.95%Similarity: 93.18%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
IRD.O
93.18%
+21.95%
YTRA.O
92.93%
+1.99%
MMLP.O
92.45%
-34.80%
APLT.O
92.33%
-10.65%
B.N
92.33%
-4.43%
NAVI.O
92.23%
-24.46%
SO.N
92.21%
+0.07%
GIL.N
92.09%
-17.91%
STT.N
92.08%
-7.70%
POST.N
92.07%
+9.23%
MESA Seasonality Analysis
Based on MESA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is71.43%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MESA. In contrast,Decemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at71.43%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Mesa Air Group Inc (MESA.O) stock in December has the highest probability of a positive return (71.43%), while May has the lowest probability (14.29%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Mesa Air Group Inc. (MESA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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