MCD Stock Price Prediction

McDonald's Corp

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313.420

-0.070(-0.020%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy McDonald's Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MCD has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

MCD stock price ended at $313.42 on Friday, after losing -0.02%

The McDonald's Corp stock price decreased by -0.02% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), dropping from 318.08 to 313.49. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.07% , ranging from a day low of $313.18 to a day high of 319.66. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.86% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -594.75K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.13M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 670.07M.

MCD Technical Signals

MCD(McDonald's Corp Corp) has 2 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is +0.49%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of MCD over the last 5 trading days is 949.74M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

MCD Moving Average Analysis

McDonald's Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 9, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $322.92746666666665, and $327.1676666666666. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $309.20786666666663, and $304.9676666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MCD Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of McDonald's Corp(MCD) as of 07 May 2025 is 17.97%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 316.79 to 318.13. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.997

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.943

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-2.73

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

MCD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to McDonald's Corp(MCD), our algorithm predicts MCD's 1-month price at $388.16, with an 22.55%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.06%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for McDonald's Corp (MCD.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 22.55% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AMSC.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.06%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MCD

Future prediction

Up: 22.55%

AMSC

Up: 22.55%Similarity: 90.06%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

AMSC.O

90.06%

+22.55%

MCD Seasonality Analysis

Based on MCD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is27.27%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in MCD. In contrast,Apriloffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying McDonald's Corp (MCD.N) stock in April has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while May has the lowest probability (27.27%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows McDonald's Corp. (MCD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.