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MCD Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of McDonald's Corp(MCD) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of McDonald's Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05Pre-Market3.353.22-3.887.09B7.08B-0.16+2.16-0.04
FY2025Q22025-08-06Pre-Market3.153.19+1.276.70B6.84B+2.10+2.98+1.87
FY2025Q12025-05-01Pre-Market2.642.67+1.146.13B5.96B-2.78-1.88-0.89
FY2024Q42025-02-10Pre-Market2.842.83-0.356.48B6.39B-1.36+4.80+4.84
FY2024Q32024-10-29Pre-Market3.183.23+1.576.82B6.87B+0.74-0.60-1.33
FY2024Q22024-07-29-3.082.97-3.576.63B6.49B-2.07+3.74+9.80
FY2024Q12024-04-30-2.712.70-0.376.17B6.17B+0.01-0.19-1.55
FY2023Q42024-02-05-2.812.95+4.986.45B6.41B-0.73-3.73-2.55
FY2023Q32023-10-30-3.003.19+6.336.55B6.69B+2.16+1.72+4.73
FY2023Q22023-07-27-2.773.17+14.446.29B6.50B+3.22+1.18-0.73
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MCD Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, McDonald's Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 3.22, compared to analyst estimates of 3.35 by -3.88% . Revenue for the quarter reached 7.08B compared to expectations of 7.09B by -0.16% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.16% one-day change and a -0.04% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in McDonald's Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MCD Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, McDonald's Corp(MCD) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 6.81B and an EPS of 3.04.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.14%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.66%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.83% . These revisions correlate with a -1.86% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in McDonald's Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MCD's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.14%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.66%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.83%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-1.86%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:26.67B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:12.14
—
Stock Price308.54
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MCD Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

McDonald's Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.22 (Actual) vs.3.35 (Estimate) (-3.88%)
Revenue: 7.08B (Actual) vs. 7.09B (Estimate) (-0.16%)
Price Reaction: 2.16%(1-Day), -0.04%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.19 (Actual) vs.3.15 (Estimate) (1.27%)
Revenue: 6.84B (Actual) vs. 6.70B (Estimate) (2.10%)
Price Reaction: 2.98%(1-Day), 1.87%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.67 (Actual) vs.2.64 (Estimate) (1.14%)
Revenue: 5.96B (Actual) vs. 6.13B (Estimate) (-2.78%)
Price Reaction: -1.88%(1-Day), -0.89%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MCD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MCD sees a -0.80% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.85% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.02%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -2.38% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.96% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call indicates positive sentiment with strong U.S. sales growth, successful digital initiatives, and strategic investments in value and affordability. Despite short-term margin pressures, McDonald's expects long-term margin accretion and is expanding restaurant openings and digital investments. The Q&A section highlights positive consumer reactions to beverage tests and effective marketing strategies. While cautious about inflation and low-income consumer challenges, the overall outlook is optimistic with strategic initiatives in place to sustain growth.
McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-06
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, effective marketing and menu innovations, and sustainable growth strategies. Despite challenges like lower-income consumer weakness, McDonald's maintains confidence in its value leadership and long-term growth. The Q&A session reveals positive sentiment towards the IOM segment's sustainability and technology initiatives, though some concerns about lower-income consumers remain. Overall, the strategic initiatives and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock reaction over the next two weeks.
McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-02
The earnings call presents mixed signals: a slight EPS increase and shareholder returns are positive, but declining sales and economic pressures are concerning. The Q&A reveals management's optimism about future growth and value offerings, yet uncertainties remain, especially with low and middle-income consumer challenges and the McValue platform's mixed success. The $2 billion share buyback and dividend program provide some support, but overall, the sentiment is balanced by macroeconomic risks and market traffic declines, leading to a neutral outlook for the stock price.
McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-01
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive aspects such as a slight increase in adjusted EPS and strong franchisee partnerships, there are significant challenges like declining global comp sales, commodity inflation, and regulatory issues. The Q&A session highlights management's cautious optimism but also reveals uncertainties in the U.S. sales trajectory and international market dynamics. The lack of clear guidance on certain initiatives and economic challenges tempers the outlook, leading to a neutral sentiment prediction for the stock price movement.
McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-01
The earnings call revealed mixed results: global and U.S. comp sales declined, but EPS increased slightly. The Q&A highlighted concerns about U.S. sales trajectory and low-income consumer traffic, but also noted positive momentum from promotions and new products. The lack of guidance on the McValue platform and no buyback or dividend program are negatives. Overall, the sentiment is neutral due to mixed financial performance, cautious optimism in guidance, and absence of shareholder returns.
McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-10
The earnings call summary indicates mixed signals: positive U.S. comp sales, a dividend increase, and a strong commitment to shareholder returns contrast with challenges like international sales issues, inflationary pressures, and E. Coli impact. The Q&A session highlighted some optimism in U.S. market recovery and value programs but also exposed management's reluctance to provide clear guidance on future sales. Given these mixed factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral sentiment prediction.
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-29
The earnings call summary shows mixed signals. Financial performance is steady with a slight EPS increase and strong operating margins, but interest expenses are rising, and competitive pressures are significant. The dividend increase is positive for shareholder returns. The Q&A reveals management's proactive approach to food safety concerns, but analysts remain cautious about the competitive and economic environment. The lack of specific guidance on food safety impacts adds uncertainty. Overall, the combination of stable financials, competitive challenges, and food safety issues suggests a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-07-29
The earnings call highlights several concerning factors: negative comparable sales globally, a decrease in adjusted EPS, higher tax and interest expenses, and significant inflationary pressures. Despite efforts in digital transformation and value propositions, management's avoidance of clear guidance and the lack of a share repurchase or dividend program further contribute to a negative outlook. The Q&A section reinforces these issues, with analysts expressing concerns about consumer trends and market pressures. Overall, the sentiment leans negative, indicating a potential stock price decline of -2% to -8%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MCD’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

MCD reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 7.08B against an estimate of 7.09B, resulting in a -0.16% surprise. The EPS was 3.22, surpassing the expected 3.35 by -3.88% . The stock experienced a 2.16% price change on the earnings day and a -0.04% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MCD’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following MCD’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 2.16% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -0.04% change. Historically, MCD’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.80% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.85% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MCD for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MCD’s annual revenue to reach 6.81B, while the EPS is projected at 3.04. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.14% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.83% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MCD’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MCD’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.14%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.83% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MCD’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MCD’s stock price typically moves by -0.80% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.85% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 3.04 and revenue of 6.81B.
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What is the sentiment in McDonald's Corp (MCD) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call indicates positive sentiment with strong U.S. sales growth, successful digital initiatives, and strategic investments in value and affordability. Despite short-term margin pressures, McDonald's expects long-term margin accretion and is expanding restaurant openings and digital investments. The Q&A section highlights positive consumer reactions to beverage tests and effective marketing strategies. While cautious about inflation and low-income consumer challenges, the overall outlook is optimistic with strategic initiatives in place to sustain growth.
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