The chart below shows how PEP performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PEP sees a +0.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.24% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.28%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Long-Term Performance: Frito Lay has shown a compound growth rate of 8% over the last four years, indicating strong long-term performance despite recent challenges.
International Business Expansion: PepsiCo's international business has reached nearly $40 billion, contributing significantly to overall growth and profitability.
Beverage Segment Margin Improvement: The beverage segment is on track to achieve mid-teens margins, reflecting improved operational efficiency and strategic focus on pricing and innovation.
Consistent Marketing Investments: PepsiCo's advertising and marketing investments are expected to remain consistent as a percentage of sales, supporting brand growth and consumer engagement.
Long-Term Sales Growth Target: The company maintains a long-term organic sales growth target of 4% to 6%, with confidence in achieving the upper end of this range through strategic investments and market opportunities.
Negative
Frito Business Volume Decline: Volumes in the Frito business decelerated sequentially, indicating a decline in consumer demand despite significant reinvestment efforts.
Cautious EPS Guidance: EPS guidance for 2025 reflects a cautious approach, with lower expected leverage compared to previous years, signaling potential challenges in achieving growth targets.
Increased Interest Expense Impact: Higher net interest expense is anticipated due to rolling over debt at higher rates, which could pressure overall profitability moving forward.
Profit vs. EPS Growth: Operating profit growth is expected to exceed EPS growth guidance, suggesting underlying operational challenges that may not translate into shareholder value.
Low Single-Digit Sales Growth: The North American market is projected to experience only low single-digit organic sales growth, reflecting a subdued consumer environment and ongoing competitive pressures.
Earnings call transcript: PepsiCo Q4 2024 sees slight EPS beat, stock dips
PEP.O
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