LVWR Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how LVWR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LVWR sees a +8.95% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -7.38% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.69%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
LVWR Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
10.76M
-28.69%
142.09%
Gross Margin
-49.75%
44.71%
45.47%
Operating Margin
-234.59%
4.88%
-60.69%
Net Margin
-211.71%
-3.46%
-58.53%
EPS
-0.11
-31.25%
-0.00%
No Data Available
LVWR Earnings Analysis
LiveWire Group Inc Corporation (LVWR.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Touring Segment Growth: The launch of the new Model Year '24 Touring motorcycles contributed to nearly 5% growth in the U.S. Touring segment, increasing Harley Davidson's market share to almost 75%, a 3.5% increase since 2023.
Touring Segment Sales Increase: Retail sales of the Touring segment finished the year up more than 8%, despite an overall decline of 4% in North America for the full year.
Productivity Savings Impact: Harley Davidson achieved $257 million in productivity savings, contributing positively to cash flow and demonstrating effective cost management.
Strong Cash Flow Growth: Operating cash flow exceeded $1 billion in 2024, marking a nearly 40% increase from the prior year, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities.
Share Repurchase Program: In 2024, Harley Davidson repurchased 12.5 million shares of common stock for a total value of $450 million, representing 9% of shares outstanding at the beginning of the year.
Negative
Global Retail Sales Decline: Global retail sales declined by 15% in Q4, with North America down 13% and international regions down 17%, contributing to a full-year decline of 7%.
Q4 Revenue Decline: Consolidated revenue in Q4 decreased by 35%, primarily due to a 47% drop in HDMC revenue, resulting in an operating loss of $193 million compared to a loss of $21 million in Q4 2023.
Operating Income Decline: Full-year consolidated operating income fell by 47% to $417 million, with HDMC operating income down 58% to $278 million, reflecting significant challenges in the market.
Earnings Per Share Decline: Earnings per share for Q4 was a loss of $0.93, down from a profit of $0.18 in the same quarter last year, indicating a substantial decline in profitability.
Operating Loss and Revenue Decline: LiveWire reported an operating loss of $110 million for the year, with revenue down 31%, highlighting ongoing struggles in the electric motorcycle segment.
LVWR FAQs
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LVWR Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Harley-Davidson Q4 2024 reports revenue decline
LVWR.N
0.87%Positive
Despite the share repurchase program, the financial performance was weak with significant revenue decline and operating losses. The guidance was revised downward, and there are concerns about future profitability, especially in the LiveWire segment. The Q&A highlighted inventory and margin issues, and management's vague responses on LiveWire's profitability timeline add uncertainty. The market cap suggests moderate reaction, leading to an expected negative stock price movement of -2% to -8%.
