LGIH

LGI Homes Inc

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Advanced Chart

57.110

-0.12(-0.210%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

57.970

Open

57.150

VWAP

57.11

Vol

299.59K

Mkt Cap

1.32B

Low

56.460

Amount

17.11M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

17.84

Total Shares

23.57M

3.02B

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

0.66

LGI Homes, Inc. is focused on the homebuilding industry. The Company is engaged in the design, construction and sale of homes across approximately 36 markets in 21 states. It offers multiple product lines, including attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings that are marketed and sold under its LGI Homes brand and luxury homes that are marketed and sold under its Terrata Homes brand. Its homebuilding operations are organized and managed by seven operating segments: West, Northwest, Central, Midwest, Florida, Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. The Company offers an attached townhome product in certain markets. Its CompleteHome and CompleteHome Plus packages offer buyers move-in ready homes. Each of these packages includes preselected, upgraded features, including stainless steel appliances, cabinets and others. Its wholesale business builds and sells homes primarily to institutions interested in acquiring single-family rental properties through bulk sales agreements.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2026Q1

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

376.62M

+7.17%

0.750

+341.18%

514.69M

-7.66%

1.640

-23.72%

447.74M

-31.31%

1.230

-58.31%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -18.7% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -4.32%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-18.7%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-35.27%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-4.32%

In Past 3 Month

3 Analyst Rating

14.39% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast LGIH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LGIH is 65.33 USD with a low forecast of 47.00 USD and a high forecast of 93.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

2 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Sell

14.39% Upside

Current: 57.110

Low

47.00

Averages

65.33

High

93.00

14.39% Upside

Current: 57.110

Low

47.00

Averages

65.33

High

93.00

Citizens JMP

Aaron Hecht

Outperform

NULL

downgrade

$140 -> $75

2025-08-07

New

Reason

Citizens JMP

Aaron Hecht

Price Target

$140 -> $75

2025-08-07

New

downgrade

Outperform

NULL

Reason

Citizens JMP analyst Aaron Hecht lowered the firm's price target on LGI Homes to $75 from $140 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following the Q2 report. The earnings miss reflected lower operating margins and less contribution from other income, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes LGI is having a difficult time qualifying customers in the high-interest rate environment.

JPMorgan

Underweight

downgrade

$52 -> $47

2025-07-09

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$52 -> $47

2025-07-09

downgrade

Underweight

Reason

JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on LGI Homes to $47 from $52 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model and reduced estimates.

Texas Capital

Alex Rygiel

Hold

initiated

$56

2025-06-17

Reason

Texas Capital

Alex Rygiel

Price Target

$56

2025-06-17

initiated

Hold

Reason

Texas Capital analyst Alex Rygiel initiated coverage of LGI Homes with a Hold rating and $56 price target. The small-cap national homebuilder targets affordability with the lowest average selling price for homes among the publicly traded homebuilders, the analyst tells investors. LGI currently owns more land/lots than it has options for, which creates some inventory risk, says the analyst. However, as the company has not taken a meaningful impairment in recent history, the firm believes this land/lot and home inventory "could bode well should demand return quickly," the firm added.

Wedbush

Neutral

downgrade

$100 -> $93

2025-06-05

Reason

Wedbush

Price Target

$100 -> $93

2025-06-05

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Wedbush lowered the firm's price target on LGI Homes to $93 from $100 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Based on the sequential and year-over-year decline in May 2025's closings and a lower-than-expected community count thus far in Q2, the firm lowered its revenue and EPS assumptions. Wedbush believes LGI's May results demonstrate the highly competitive selling conditions for entry level builders in the current market environment.

Citizens Capital Markets

Aaron Hecht

Buy

Maintains

$160 → $140

2025-02-26

Reason

Citizens Capital Markets

Aaron Hecht

Price Target

$160 → $140

2025-02-26

Maintains

Buy

Reason

Citizens JMP analyst Aaron Hecht lowered the firm's price target on LGI Homes to $140 from $160 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following the Q4 results. LGI Homes has been challenged by high interest rates and a lack of affordability, and while affordability issues are likely to persist in 2025, the company will continue to lean into incentives to help qualify buyers, at the detriment of the profitability and margins, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes that incremental improvement to the selling environment should combine with continued expansion in community count into the out years to ramp earnings and drive the stock higher.

JP Morgan

Michael Rehaut

Sell

Maintains

$82 → $80

2025-01-14

Reason

JP Morgan

Michael Rehaut

Price Target

$82 → $80

2025-01-14

Maintains

Sell

Reason

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for LGI Homes Inc (LGIH.O) is 11.95, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 10.35. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess LGI Homes Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

10.35

Current PE

11.95

Overvalued PE

12.23

Undervalued PE

8.46

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Strongly Overvalued

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

10.46

Current EV/EBITDA

21.79

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

13.36

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

7.56

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PS

1.02

Current PS

0.73

Overvalued PS

1.24

Undervalued PS

0.80