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HSY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hershey Co (HSY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
219.000
1 Day change
-1.70%
52 Week Range
239.480
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Hershey Co (HSY) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong revenue growth and positive analyst sentiment, the recent drop in net income, EPS, and gross margin, coupled with insider selling and a lack of significant trading signals, suggests that waiting for a better entry point or clearer growth signals may be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing mixed technical signals. While the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), the MACD is negative and expanding downward (-0.847), and RSI is neutral at 41.047. The stock is trading below the pivot level of 229.118, with support at 220.714 and resistance at 237.522. These indicators suggest the stock is not in a strong upward trend currently.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high put-call volume ratio (3.89) indicates bearish sentiment in the options market, suggesting traders are positioning for potential downside.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with some projecting values as high as $

  • Hershey's revenue growth is projected at 4.8% for 2026, and earnings growth at 29.3%, indicating potential long-term growth.

  • Strong Q4 2025 results exceeded expectations, and FY26 guidance was well above consensus.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 388.56% over the last month, which may indicate a lack of confidence from those within the company.

  • Net income, EPS, and gross margin have all dropped significantly YoY in Q4

  • Options data shows bearish sentiment with a high put-call volume ratio.

  • No recent Congress trading data or influential figure activity to indicate confidence in the stock.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.05% YoY to $3.09 billion. However, net income dropped by 59.83% YoY to $320 million, EPS fell by 49.19% YoY to $1.57, and gross margin declined by 31.37% YoY to 37.04%. These declines in profitability metrics raise concerns about the company's financial health.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on the stock, with multiple firms raising price targets significantly. The highest price target is $267 (Goldman Sachs), and the lowest is $195 (Mizuho). Ratings range from Neutral to Buy, with some analysts highlighting strong long-term growth potential despite short-term pressures.

Wall Street analysts forecast HSY stock price to fall
17 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HSY stock price to fall
3 Buy
14 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 222.780
sliders
Low
181
Averages
196.27
High
222
Current: 222.780
sliders
Low
181
Averages
196.27
High
222
Mizuho
Neutral
maintain
$165 -> $195
AI Analysis
2026-02-24
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$165 -> $195
AI Analysis
2026-02-24
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho raised the firm's price target on Hershey to $195 from $165 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Stephens
Overweight
maintain
$200 -> $260
2026-02-12
Reason
Stephens
Price Target
$200 -> $260
2026-02-12
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Stephens raised the firm's price target on Hershey to $260 from $200 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following a "clean" Q4 beat and FY26 guidance that the firm says "reads better-than-feared on both sales and adjusted EPS." In the near-term, investors will watch Q1 as higher cost inventory and tariffs still pressure results before an expected inflection, but longer term the firm sees a path to balanced growth as margins normalize and the category proves durable, the analyst tells investors.
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