HLT Valuation

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc

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273.320

+8.05(3.035%)1D

HLT Relative Valuation

HLT's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HLT is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 30.97 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 32.68. The fair price of Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) is between 191.88 to 358.82 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

191.88-358.82

Current Price：273.32

Fair

30.97

Trailing

Forward

18.22

EV/EBITDA

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a current EV/EBITDA of 18.22. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 19.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.04, Undervalued between 12.04 and 15.54, Fairly Valued between 22.54 and 15.54, Overvalued between 22.54 and 26.04, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.04. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 18.22 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

21.12

EV/EBIT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a current EV/EBIT of 21.12. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 24.20. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.44, Undervalued between 8.44 and 16.32, Fairly Valued between 32.08 and 16.32, Overvalued between 32.08 and 39.96, and Strongly Overvalued above 39.96. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 21.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

273.32

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a current PS of 273.32. The 5-year average PS is 6.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -37.45, Undervalued between -37.45 and -15.51, Fairly Valued between 28.35 and -15.51, Overvalued between 28.35 and 50.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.28. The current Forward PS of 273.32 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

23.88

P/OCF

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a current P/OCF of 23.88. The 5-year average P/OCF is 29.88. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.52, Undervalued between 3.52 and 16.70, Fairly Valued between 43.06 and 16.70, Overvalued between 43.06 and 56.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 56.25. The current Forward P/OCF of 23.88 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

32.23

P/FCF

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has a current P/FCF of 32.23. The 5-year average P/FCF is 30.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.93, Undervalued between 7.93 and 19.39, Fairly Valued between 42.32 and 19.39, Overvalued between 42.32 and 53.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 53.78. The current Forward P/FCF of 32.23 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -12.92. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -21.63 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -40.30% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -27.12, the current P/B ratio is about -52.38% higher. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.04%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 3.77%, the current FCF yield is approximately -99.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.68% , the current FCF yield is about -98.60% lower.

-12.92

P/B

Median3y

-21.63

Median5y

-27.12

0.04

FCF Yield

Median3y

3.77

Median5y

2.68

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for HLT's competitors is 209.68, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Corp (HLT) exhibits a P/S ratio of 273.32, which is 30.35% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 3.47%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

HLT.N

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc

Marriott International Inc

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of HLT increased by 7.84% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 27.74 to 32.81.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 3.47%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of HLT in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

3.47%

1.24B → 1.28B

Revenue Growth

18.28%

27.74 → 32.81

Margin Expansion

-13.91%

45.93 → 39.54

P/E Change

7.84%