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HLT Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
298.370
1 Day change
-1.68%
52 Week Range
333.860
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While there are positive catalysts such as strong congressional buying and positive analyst sentiment, the company's recent financial performance, insider selling, and lack of strong technical signals suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and contracting (-1.968), RSI is neutral at 41.94, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 308.714, with support at 299.649 and resistance at 317.779. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish outlook.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong congressional buying with 4 purchase transactions totaling $1.5M to $5.0M in the last 90 days.

  • Positive analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases, including UBS raising the target to $360 and Wells Fargo to $

  • Revenue growth of 7.02% YoY in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased significantly by 1031.31% over the last month.

  • Net income dropped by 41.19% YoY and EPS fell by 38.35% YoY in Q4

  • The MACD and RSI suggest no clear upward momentum, and the stock is trading near its pivot level with no strong technical breakout.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.02% YoY to $1.28 billion, but net income dropped by 41.19% YoY to $297 million, and EPS fell by 38.35% YoY to 1.27. Gross margin improved slightly to 73.52%, up 1.77% YoY. Overall, the financial performance shows revenue growth but significant pressure on profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a positive outlook on Hilton, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. UBS increased its target to $360, Barclays to $350, and Wells Fargo to $373, citing strong Q4 results and optimistic guidance. However, some firms like Truist remain cautious with a Hold rating.

Wall Street analysts forecast HLT stock price to fall
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HLT stock price to fall
11 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 303.460
sliders
Low
253
Averages
292.37
High
340
Current: 303.460
sliders
Low
253
Averages
292.37
High
340
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
maintain
$306 -> $303
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$306 -> $303
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
New
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Hilton to $303 from $306 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Q4 results and 2026 guidance from the firm's covered lodging companies "generally" exceeded estimates, but conflict in Iran warrants near-term caution, the analyst tells investors in a note on the group.
UBS
Buy
maintain
$312 -> $360
2026-02-22
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$312 -> $360
2026-02-22
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Hilton to $360 from $312 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report. It cites greater unit growth estimates for the target boost.
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