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HGTY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hagerty Inc (HGTY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.530
1 Day change
-4.45%
52 Week Range
14.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/10
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Hagerty Inc (HGTY) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The stock has shown a recent price decline, hedge funds are selling heavily, and technical indicators suggest limited upward momentum in the short term. While the company's financial performance in Q4 2025 was strong, with significant revenue and net income growth, the lack of positive trading signals and bearish stock trend projections make it prudent to hold rather than buy.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 63.428, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong trend. Key support is at 10.421, and resistance is at 11.277. The stock is currently trading near resistance at 11.11, suggesting limited upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's Q4 2025 financial performance showed strong growth, with revenue up 16.48% YoY and net income up 467.48% YoY. The upcoming Porsche Air|Water Auction could generate brand visibility and potential revenue.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 9210.10% increase in selling activity over the last quarter. Stock trend analysis predicts a 90% chance of a decline in the next day (-3.35%), week (-5.2%), and month (-11.63%). Analysts have lowered the price target from $15 to $14, reflecting reduced optimism.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Hagerty Inc reported revenue of $388.1M (up 16.48% YoY), net income of $6.5M (up 467.48% YoY), and EPS of $0.08 (up 700% YoY). Gross margin remained unchanged.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette recently lowered the price target from $15 to $14 but maintained an Outperform rating, indicating cautious optimism.

Wall Street analysts forecast HGTY stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HGTY stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 11.020
sliders
Low
11
Averages
13.5
High
15
Current: 11.020
sliders
Low
11
Averages
13.5
High
15
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
to
Outperform
downgrade
$15 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$15 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
downgrade
Outperform
to
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on Hagerty to $14 from $15 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
JPMorgan
Pablo Singzon
Neutral
maintain
$12 -> $13
2026-01-07
Reason
JPMorgan
Pablo Singzon
Price Target
$12 -> $13
2026-01-07
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Pablo Singzon raised the firm's price target on Hagerty to $13 from $12 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the property and casualty insurance sector as part of its 2026 outlook. While fundamentals in the P&C sector "are getting more challenging," pricing, margin, and growth headwinds "seem better reflected in sentiment and valuation levels," the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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