HCA Relative Valuation
HCA's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, HCA is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 16.61 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 13.76. The fair price of HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) is between 384.12 to 460.51 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 487.66 USD , HCA Healthcare Inc is Overvalued By 5.89%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
384.12-460.51
Current Price：487.66
5.89%
Overvalued
16.61
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
10.09
EV/EBITDA
HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) has a current EV/EBITDA of 10.09. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.57, Undervalued between 7.57 and 8.25, Fairly Valued between 9.62 and 8.25, Overvalued between 9.62 and 10.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.30. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 10.09 falls within the Overvalued range.
12.95
EV/EBIT
HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) has a current EV/EBIT of 12.95. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 11.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.01, Undervalued between 10.01 and 10.90, Fairly Valued between 12.69 and 10.90, Overvalued between 12.69 and 13.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.59. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 12.95 falls within the Overvalued range.
1.42
PS
HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) has a current PS of 1.42. The 5-year average PS is 1.16. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.89, Undervalued between 0.89 and 1.02, Fairly Valued between 1.29 and 1.02, Overvalued between 1.29 and 1.42, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.42. The current Forward PS of 1.42 falls within the Overvalued range.
9.51
P/OCF
HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) has a current P/OCF of 9.51. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.99. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.86, Undervalued between 4.86 and 6.43, Fairly Valued between 9.56 and 6.43, Overvalued between 9.56 and 11.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.13. The current Forward P/OCF of 9.51 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
15.45
P/FCF
HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) has a current P/FCF of 15.45. The 5-year average P/FCF is 14.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.98, Undervalued between -3.98 and 5.08, Fairly Valued between 23.20 and 5.08, Overvalued between 23.20 and 32.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 32.26. The current Forward P/FCF of 15.45 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -21.01. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -35.03 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -40.03% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -22.33, the current P/B ratio is about -5.93% higher. HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 6.36%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.48% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
-21.01
P/B
Median3y
-35.03
Median5y
-22.33
7.29
FCF Yield
Median3y
6.36
Median5y
6.48
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for HCA's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. HCA Healthcare Inc Corp (HCA) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 9.57%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of HCA increased by 62.47% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 13.92 to 18.89.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 17.24%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of HCA in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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