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HCA Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
473.240
1 Day change
1.16%
52 Week Range
556.520
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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HCA Healthcare Inc is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term investment horizon and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and encouraging Medicaid program approval outweigh the short-term technical weakness and insider selling. The investor's impatience aligns with the stock's potential for long-term growth.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 10.333, indicating a potential rebound. However, the MACD histogram is negative (-6.479) and contracting, suggesting bearish momentum. The price is near the S1 support level of 480.194, which could act as a strong support zone.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options trading volume of 4,644 contracts reflects strong market interest. The low Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 0.14 indicates bullish sentiment, while the Open Interest Put-Call Ratio of 1.11 suggests a slight tilt towards caution.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Medicaid SDP program approval in Georgia, expected to boost EBITDA by $83M.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 6.72% YoY and EPS up 44.58%.

  • Positive analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases, including UBS's $635 and TD Cowen's $561 targets.

  • AI-driven efficiency gains and strong fundamentals cited by analysts.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 1487.91% over the last month, which could indicate caution among insiders.

  • Short-term technical indicators show bearish momentum.

  • The broader market (S&P

  • is down 1.79%, reflecting overall market weakness.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, HCA Healthcare reported strong financials: Revenue increased to $19.51B (up 6.72% YoY), Net Income rose to $1.878B (up 30.60% YoY), EPS increased to $8.14 (up 44.58% YoY), and Gross Margin improved slightly to 80.07%. These results highlight robust growth and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly positive on HCA, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. RBC Capital highlighted the Medicaid SDP program's impact, while UBS and Mizuho emphasized AI-driven efficiency gains and strong margins. Price targets range from $481 to $635, with most analysts maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings.

Wall Street analysts forecast HCA stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HCA stock price to rise
13 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 467.830
sliders
Low
420
Averages
491.89
High
525
Current: 467.830
sliders
Low
420
Averages
491.89
High
525
RBC Capital
Outperform
maintain
$593
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$593
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital points out that HCA management noted at an industry conference Tuesday that CMS approved Georgia's new $1.9B Medicaid SDP program Monday evening, calling that news "encouraging." Using state bed counts, the firm estimates the approval will provide a roughly $83M EBITDA boost for HCA, adds the analyst, who has an Outperform rating and $593 price target on HCA shares.
TD Cowen
Buy
maintain
$529 -> $561
2026-03-10
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$529 -> $561
2026-03-10
maintain
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on HCA Healthcare to $561 from $529 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following its appearance at the TD Healthcare conference which increased their confidence in the company's ability to execute on its 2026 guidance.
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