GSHD Valuation

Goosehead Insurance Inc

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84.710

-1.73(-2.001%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GSHD Relative Valuation

GSHD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GSHD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 42.70 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 94.92. The fair price of Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD) is between 68.28 to 284.47 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

68.28-284.47

Current Price：84.71

Fair

42.70

Trailing

Forward

19.20

EV/EBITDA

Goosehead Insurance Inc. (GSHD) has a current EV/EBITDA of 19.20. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 39.43. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -15.16, Undervalued between -15.16 and 12.14, Fairly Valued between 66.73 and 12.14, Overvalued between 66.73 and 94.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 94.02. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 19.20 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

31.90

EV/EBIT

Goosehead Insurance Inc. (GSHD) has a current EV/EBIT of 31.90. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 88.46. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -96.34, Undervalued between -96.34 and -3.94, Fairly Valued between 180.87 and -3.94, Overvalued between 180.87 and 273.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 273.27. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 31.90 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.35

Goosehead Insurance Inc. (GSHD) has a current PS of 5.35. The 5-year average PS is 8.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.38, Undervalued between -0.38 and 3.84, Fairly Valued between 12.26 and 3.84, Overvalued between 12.26 and 16.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.48. The current Forward PS of 5.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Goosehead Insurance Inc. (GSHD) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -18.98, Undervalued between -18.98 and -5.54, Fairly Valued between 21.34 and -5.54, Overvalued between 21.34 and 34.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 34.78. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

31.26

P/FCF

Goosehead Insurance Inc. (GSHD) has a current P/FCF of 31.26. The 5-year average P/FCF is 29.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -17.72, Undervalued between -17.72 and 5.72, Fairly Valued between 52.59 and 5.72, Overvalued between 52.59 and 76.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.02. The current Forward P/FCF of 31.26 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -27.33. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 42.23 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -164.71% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -18.70, the current P/B ratio is about 46.12% higher. Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 3.86%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 2.70%, the current FCF yield is approximately 42.94% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.00% , the current FCF yield is about 93.44% lower.

-27.33

P/B

Median3y

42.23

Median5y

-18.70

3.86

FCF Yield

Median3y

2.70

Median5y

2.00

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GSHD's competitors is 3.46, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Goosehead Insurance Inc Corp (GSHD) exhibits a P/S ratio of 5.35, which is 54.64% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 20.41%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GSHD.O

Goosehead Insurance Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GSHD decreased by 5.14% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 78.09M to 94.03M.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed 11.21%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GSHD in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

20.41%

78.09M → 94.03M

Revenue Growth

-36.76%

13.93 → 8.81

Margin Expansion

11.21%

66.68 → 74.15

P/E Change

-5.14%