GSHD Should I Buy
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Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment at this time. The technical indicators are bearish, options data shows mixed sentiment, and analysts have lowered price targets due to industry challenges. While the company has shown modest financial growth, there are no strong positive catalysts or signals to justify immediate entry.
The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD histogram is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating a weak momentum. The RSI is neutral at 30.826, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level of 49.793, with resistance levels at 57.402 and 65.012.
The company reported YoY revenue growth of 15.89% in Q3 2025, and net income increased by 4.62%.
Analysts have lowered price targets due to challenges in the property and casualty insurance sector, including increased competition in key markets like Texas. The MACD and moving averages suggest a bearish trend, and no significant news or events have been reported recently to drive positive sentiment.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased to $90.44M (up 15.89% YoY), net income rose to $7.91M (up 4.62% YoY), and EPS remained flat at 0.29. While the company is growing, the growth is modest and not enough to offset broader industry challenges.
Analysts have a neutral to market perform rating on the stock. JPMorgan lowered its price target to $80 from $85, citing challenges in the property and casualty insurance sector. BMO Capital also lowered its price target to $79 from $110, highlighting risks from increased competition and potential revenue misses in the near term.
