GRPN Valuation

Groupon Inc

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29.060

-1.78(-5.772%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GRPN Relative Valuation

GRPN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GRPN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Groupon Inc (GRPN) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 2.48 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 43.49. The fair price of Groupon Inc (GRPN) is between 6.02 to 14.96 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 28.96 USD , Groupon Inc is Overvalued By 93.62%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.02-14.96

Current Price：28.96

93.62%

Overvalued

385.50

Trailing

Forward

16.74

EV/EBITDA

Groupon Inc. (GRPN) has a current EV/EBITDA of 16.74. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.60. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -54.65, Undervalued between -54.65 and -27.03, Fairly Valued between 28.22 and -27.03, Overvalued between 28.22 and 55.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 55.84. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 16.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

57.33

EV/EBIT

Groupon Inc. (GRPN) has a current EV/EBIT of 57.33. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -15.09. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -148.30, Undervalued between -148.30 and -81.70, Fairly Valued between 51.52 and -81.70, Overvalued between 51.52 and 118.12, and Strongly Overvalued above 118.12. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 57.33 falls within the Overvalued range.

2.48

Groupon Inc. (GRPN) has a current PS of 2.48. The 5-year average PS is 0.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.06, Undervalued between -0.06 and 0.42, Fairly Valued between 1.38 and 0.42, Overvalued between 1.38 and 1.86, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.86. The current Forward PS of 2.48 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

17.30

P/OCF

Groupon Inc. (GRPN) has a current P/OCF of 17.30. The 5-year average P/OCF is 8.88. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -53.69, Undervalued between -53.69 and -22.40, Fairly Valued between 40.17 and -22.40, Overvalued between 40.17 and 71.46, and Strongly Overvalued above 71.46. The current Forward P/OCF of 17.30 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

20.87

P/FCF

Groupon Inc. (GRPN) has a current P/FCF of 20.87. The 5-year average P/FCF is -5.26. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.26, Undervalued between -44.26 and -24.76, Fairly Valued between 14.24 and -24.76, Overvalued between 14.24 and 33.74, and Strongly Overvalued above 33.74. The current Forward P/FCF of 20.87 falls within the Overvalued range.

Groupon Inc (GRPN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 27.00. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 5.92 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 356.22% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 7.16, the current P/B ratio is about 277.08% higher. Groupon Inc (GRPN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.01%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -35.42%, the current FCF yield is approximately -111.32% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -27.01% , the current FCF yield is about -114.84% lower.

27.00

P/B

Median3y

5.92

Median5y

7.16

4.01

FCF Yield

Median3y

-35.42

Median5y

-27.01

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GRPN's competitors is 0.79, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Groupon Inc Corp (GRPN) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.48, which is 213.23% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -4.79%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc

0.15

-2.34%

953.50M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GRPN increased by 122.35% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -7.29 to -29.21.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -4.79%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GRPN in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-4.79%

123.08M → 117.19M

Revenue Growth

-173.26%

-9.35 → 6.85

Margin Expansion

300.40%

-7.29 → -29.21

P/E Change

122.35%