Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Groupon Inc(GRPN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Groupon Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-11-06 | After Hours | 0.01 | - | - | 121.99M | 122.83M | +0.69 | -5.03 | +0.42 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-08-06 | After Hours | -0.02 | 0.46 | +2400.00 | 122.46M | 125.70M | +2.65 | +20.28 | -1.08 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-05-07 | After Hours | -0.20 | 0.18 | +190.00 | 115.50M | 117.19M | +1.46 | +42.58 | +55.77 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-03-11 | After Hours | -0.06 | -1.20 | -1900.00 | 127.74M | 130.38M | +2.07 | +43.09 | +63.05 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-07-30 | - | -0.25 | -0.15 | +40.00 | 121.56M | 124.62M | +2.52 | -8.24 | -33.35 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-09 | - | -0.27 | 0.01 | +103.70 | 117.45M | 123.08M | +4.80 | -2.14 | +55.08 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-03-15 | - | -0.22 | 0.29 | +231.82 | 139.07M | 137.72M | -0.97 | -30.71 | -17.34 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-11-09 | - | -0.55 | -0.22 | +60.00 | 127.41M | 126.47M | -0.73 | -2.73 | -27.95 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-08-09 | - | -0.74 | -0.30 | +59.46 | 123.28M | 129.11M | +4.72 | -3.76 | +28.85 |
| - | 2023-05-10 | - | -1.29 | -0.70 | +45.74 | - | - | - | +8.17 | -19.07 |
GRPN Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Groupon Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of , compared to analyst estimates of 0.01 by % . Revenue for the quarter reached 122.83M compared to expectations of 121.99M by 0.69% .
The stock price reacted with a -5.03% one-day change and a 0.42% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Groupon Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
GRPN Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, Groupon Inc(GRPN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 137.34M and an EPS of 0.16.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.58%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 14.29%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -2.66% . These revisions correlate with a -22.87% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Groupon Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between GRPN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.58%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+14.29%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
-2.66%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
-22.87%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:503.04M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.81
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Stock Price18.52
GRPN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
Groupon Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,After Hours):
EPS: (Actual) vs.0.01 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 122.83M (Actual) vs. 121.99M (Estimate) (0.69%)
Price Reaction: -5.03%(1-Day), 0.42%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.46 (Actual) vs.-0.02 (Estimate) (2400.00%)
Revenue: 125.70M (Actual) vs. 122.46M (Estimate) (2.65%)
Price Reaction: 20.28%(1-Day), -1.08%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.18 (Actual) vs.-0.20 (Estimate) (190.00%)
Revenue: 117.19M (Actual) vs. 115.50M (Estimate) (1.46%)
Price Reaction: 42.58%(1-Day), 55.77%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how GRPN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GRPN sees a +10.51% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +19.08% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -4.66%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -5.03% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -17.46% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
Groupon Inc (GRPN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with impressive growth in core categories and a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. The company's strategic focus on a hyperlocal marketplace and improved customer conversion rates are positive indicators. The Q&A section highlights management's optimism and strategic initiatives, despite some lack of specificity in responses. The raised guidance for billings growth further supports a positive outlook. Overall, the combination of strong financial metrics, strategic initiatives, and raised guidance suggests a positive stock price movement in the short term.
Groupon Inc (GRPN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
Groupon's earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with double-digit growth in key segments and positive free cash flow. The raised full-year billings growth guidance and successful transformation strategy are encouraging. The Q&A reveals positive sentiment towards AI-driven growth and merchant engagement. Despite some uncertainties, like the Italy settlement and tech conversion cohort, the overall outlook is optimistic, supported by strategic investments and potential share buybacks. These factors suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Groupon Inc (GRPN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is positive growth in North America Local billings and a strategic focus on quality, revenue compression and higher redemption rates present short-term challenges. The sale of Giftcloud impacts revenue but allows for a focus on core growth. No shareholder return plan is announced, and economic factors pose potential risks. The Q&A highlights cautious optimism in marketing and international markets but lacks clarity on the timeline for platform updates. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with balanced positives and negatives influencing the stock price.
Groupon Inc (GRPN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-12
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong financial metrics and improved cash position are offset by weak guidance and a new debt offering. While international growth and positive adjusted EBITDA are favorable, the YoY revenue decline and flat 2025 revenue expectations dampen sentiment. The Q&A highlights platform improvements and strategic focus, but lacks concrete metrics for gifting and user engagement. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no strong catalysts for a significant stock price move.
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-12
The earnings call presents mixed signals: while there are positive aspects such as consistent positive adjusted EBITDA and efforts in transformation, there are also negative elements like declining revenue and billings, negative cash flow, and uncertainties in legacy retention and international upgrades. The Q&A did not reveal strong positive catalysts or severe risks. The new secured debt and asset sales are neutral in impact. Overall, the stock is likely to remain stable in the short term, leading to a neutral prediction.
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-31
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong free cash flow and positive adjusted EBITDA are offset by declining revenues and international billings. The Q&A reveals concerns about conversion rates and unclear management responses. Positive cash flow and EBITDA, combined with cautious guidance and market challenges, suggest a neutral outlook for the stock price movement.
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FAQ
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