Should You Buy Groupon Inc (GRPN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who wants to act immediately. GRPN is deeply oversold and options positioning is bullish-leaning, but the dominant trend is still down (bearish moving averages and weakening MACD) and the latest quarter shows a sharp deterioration in profitability (large net loss/EPS miss). This setup is better suited to short-term mean-reversion traders than a beginner long-term buyer entering today.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish. The moving average stack is negative (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), confirming a sustained downtrend. Momentum is also weakening: MACD histogram is below zero (-0.0473) and negatively expanding, which typically signals downside pressure is still building. RSI(6) at ~19.8 is extremely oversold, which increases the odds of a short-term bounce, but oversold alone is not a reliable long-term entry signal while trend indicators remain bearish.
Key levels: Pivot 15.948. Immediate support at S1 15.228 then S2 14.784. Resistance at R1 16.668 then R2 17.113. With price ~15.49, the stock is sitting just above support—breakdown risk remains unless it reclaims the pivot and starts building higher lows.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend is mixed and polarized.
- 2026-01-09: Northland reiterated bullishness (Outperform) and highlighted GRPN as a 2026 Top Pick with a $42 price target, citing improved balance sheet and underappreciated execution.
- 2025-11-10: Goldman Sachs kept a Sell rating and lowered its price target to $17 from $24, despite noting user growth and supply expansion; they remain concerned about balancing growth investments vs margins and capital allocation.
Wall Street pros/cons view: Bulls see a turnaround + balance sheet improvement and significant upside if execution continues; bears focus on uncertain margin trajectory, capital allocation trade-offs, and the fact that losses can overwhelm revenue growth.
Wall Street analysts forecast GRPN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GRPN is 35.33 USD with a low forecast of 17 USD and a high forecast of 47 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast GRPN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GRPN is 35.33 USD with a low forecast of 17 USD and a high forecast of 47 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 15.490
Current: 15.490
