GPRE Valuation

Green Plains Inc

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10.800

-0.21(-1.907%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GPRE Relative Valuation

GPRE's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GPRE is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Green Plains Inc (GPRE) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.30 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 6.80. The fair price of Green Plains Inc (GPRE) is between 14.57 to 24.22 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 10.88 USD , Green Plains Inc is Undervalued By 25.35%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

14.57-24.22

Current Price：10.88

25.35%

Undervalued

-19.05

Trailing

Forward

13.07

EV/EBITDA

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a current EV/EBITDA of 13.07. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 22.58. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -45.50, Undervalued between -45.50 and -11.46, Fairly Valued between 56.62 and -11.46, Overvalued between 56.62 and 90.66, and Strongly Overvalued above 90.66. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 13.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-131.90

EV/EBIT

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a current EV/EBIT of -131.90. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 2.45. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -79.34, Undervalued between -79.34 and -38.45, Fairly Valued between 43.34 and -38.45, Overvalued between 43.34 and 84.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 84.23. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -131.90 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.30

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a current PS of 0.30. The 5-year average PS is 0.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.10, Undervalued between 0.10 and 0.27, Fairly Valued between 0.61 and 0.27, Overvalued between 0.61 and 0.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.78. The current Forward PS of 0.30 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.40

P/OCF

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a current P/OCF of 8.40. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -42.21, Undervalued between -42.21 and -17.19, Fairly Valued between 32.84 and -17.19, Overvalued between 32.84 and 57.86, and Strongly Overvalued above 57.86. The current Forward P/OCF of 8.40 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

19.79

P/FCF

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a current P/FCF of 19.79. The 5-year average P/FCF is -5.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -143.19, Undervalued between -143.19 and -74.48, Fairly Valued between 62.95 and -74.48, Overvalued between 62.95 and 131.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 131.67. The current Forward P/FCF of 19.79 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Green Plains Inc (GPRE) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.47 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -33.17% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.53, the current P/B ratio is about -35.86% higher. Green Plains Inc (GPRE) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -6.03%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -8.52%, the current FCF yield is approximately -29.15% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -9.25% , the current FCF yield is about -34.76% lower.

0.98

P/B

Median3y

1.47

Median5y

1.53

-6.03

FCF Yield

Median3y

-8.52

Median5y

-9.25

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GPRE's competitors is 0.83, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Green Plains Inc Corp (GPRE) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.30, which is -63.24% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -10.66%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Westlake Chemical Partners LP

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GPRE decreased by 18.69% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -3.88 to -13.06.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -10.66%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GPRE in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-10.66%

618.83M → 552.83M

Revenue Growth

236.60%

-3.88 → -13.06

Margin Expansion

-244.63%

3.24 → -4.68

P/E Change

-18.69%