GPRE Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how GPRE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GPRE sees a +3.41% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.55% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.16%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
GPRE Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
584.02M
-18.02%
-11.34%
Gross Margin
-2.62%
-133.55%
-133.16%
Operating Margin
-7.01%
-399.57%
-282.08%
Net Margin
-9.36%
-657.14%
-226.83%
EPS
-0.86
-816.67%
-228.36%
No Data Available
GPRE Earnings Analysis
Green Plains Inc Corporation (GPRE.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Cost Savings Initiatives: Identified up to $50 million in annualized cost savings, with $30 million already executed, including reductions in corporate workforce and SG&A expenses.
Operating Rate Performance: Achieved an operating rate of 92% during Q4, with expectations to maintain mid-ninety percent performance in 2025, excluding the impact of the Fairmont facility.
Positive EBITDA Achievement: Generated $44.7 million in positive EBITDA for the full year 2024, despite a challenging market environment in Q4.
Major Aquaculture Contract Secured: Secured a significant contract with a major aquaculture company, marking the largest sale to date and indicating strong demand for high-protein products.
Carbon Capture Financial Impact: Projected annualized run rate financial contribution from carbon capture initiatives to be at least $130 million, based on favorable regulatory developments.
Negative
Q4 2024 Net Loss: Green Plains Inc. reported a net loss of $54.9 million or $0.86 per share for Q4 2024, a significant decline from a net income of $7.2 million or $0.12 per share in Q4 2023.
EBITDA Decline Q4: EBITDA for Q4 2024 was negative $18.9 million, a stark contrast to the positive EBITDA of $44.7 million reported in the same quarter of the previous year.
Q4 Revenue Decline: Consolidated revenues for Q4 2024 were $584 million, which is $128.4 million or approximately 18% lower than the same period a year ago, primarily due to lower market prices for ethanol and related products.
Plant Utilization Decline: Plant utilization rate dropped to 92% in Q4 2024, down from 95% in the same period last year, indicating reduced operational efficiency.
Ethanol Market Challenges: The decision to shut down a 120 million gallon facility in Fairmont due to adverse market conditions reflects ongoing challenges in the ethanol market, exacerbated by flooding and a short corn crop.
GPRE FAQs
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GPRE Earning Call Sentiment
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
GPRE.O
-3.03%Positive
The earnings call highlights significant financial challenges, including a net loss, negative EBITDA, and declining revenues. Although there are some positive developments, like cost savings and strategic initiatives, the Q&A reveals unclear management responses and potential risks, such as tariff impacts. The lack of a share repurchase or dividend program, coupled with weak financial performance, suggests a negative sentiment. The small market cap indicates a likely stronger reaction, aligning with a 'Negative' prediction for the stock price movement.
