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GPRE Earnings

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    Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Green Plains Inc(GPRE) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Green Plains Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05Pre-Market0.020.17+750.00583.55M508.49M-12.86+12.57-2.50
FY2025Q22025-08-11Pre-Market-0.28-0.41-46.43661.22M552.83M-16.39+19.39+17.03
FY2025Q12025-05-08Pre-Market-0.51-0.88-72.55610.70M601.52M-1.50+1.72+35.01
FY2024Q42025-02-07Pre-Market-0.28-0.86-207.14630.00M584.02M-7.30-20.39-21.11
FY2024Q32024-10-31Pre-Market0.110.35+218.18666.96M658.74M-1.23+5.07+1.63
FY2024Q22024-08-06--0.16-0.38-137.50651.23M618.83M-4.98-12.67-18.67
FY2024Q12024-05-03--0.33-0.81-145.45654.40M597.21M-8.74-2.75-2.65
FY2023Q42024-02-07-0.160.12-25.00782.01M712.39M-8.90+13.04+16.03
FY2023Q32023-10-31--0.050.35+800.00815.33M892.77M+9.50+2.69-2.52
FY2023Q22023-08-04-0.05-0.89-1880.00805.44M857.63M+6.48-7.13-0.94
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GPRE Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Green Plains Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 0.17, compared to analyst estimates of 0.02 by 750.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 508.49M compared to expectations of 583.55M by -12.86% .
The stock price reacted with a 12.57% one-day change and a -2.50% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Green Plains Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

GPRE Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Green Plains Inc(GPRE) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 479.73M and an EPS of 0.09.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -6.93%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -33.27%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -14.87% . These revisions correlate with a -3.01% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Green Plains Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between GPRE's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-6.93%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-33.27%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-14.87%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-3.01%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.14B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-1.18
—
Stock Price10.32
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GPRE Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Green Plains Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.17 (Actual) vs.0.02 (Estimate) (750.00%)
Revenue: 508.49M (Actual) vs. 583.55M (Estimate) (-12.86%)
Price Reaction: 12.57%(1-Day), -2.50%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-11,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.41 (Actual) vs.-0.28 (Estimate) (-46.43%)
Revenue: 552.83M (Actual) vs. 661.22M (Estimate) (-16.39%)
Price Reaction: 19.39%(1-Day), 17.03%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-08,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.88 (Actual) vs.-0.51 (Estimate) (-72.55%)
Revenue: 601.52M (Actual) vs. 610.70M (Estimate) (-1.50%)
Price Reaction: 1.72%(1-Day), 35.01%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how GPRE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GPRE sees a +3.69% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.07% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -14.72% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -10.99% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with significant cost reductions, high plant utilization, and positive EBITDA outlook. The extension of the 45Z tax credit is a major catalyst, expected to boost earnings significantly. The Q&A session reinforces this with management focusing on operational excellence and strategic debt reduction. Despite some vague responses, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strong operational metrics and favorable policy impacts. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a positive stock movement (2% to 8%) over the next two weeks.
Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-11
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with cost savings, a strategic partnership with Eco-Energy, and anticipated growth in protein business. The Q&A reveals positive sentiment, with increased carbon capture opportunities and strong export market outlook. Guidance is optimistic, with improved margins expected. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-09
Despite some positive aspects, such as a slight revenue increase and optimistic guidance on ethanol margins, the overall sentiment is negative. The company faces significant challenges, including a widened net loss, increased SG&A expenses, liquidity concerns, and regulatory risks. The lack of a share repurchase program and unclear management responses further dampen investor confidence. Additionally, the market cap of approximately $1 billion suggests moderate stock volatility, reinforcing a negative sentiment with a potential stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-08
The earnings call revealed mixed signals: minor revenue growth and proactive margin management, but significant net losses and increased expenses. The Q&A highlighted operational and market risks, including ethanol market weakness and competitive pressures. The lack of a share repurchase program, potential regulatory changes, and liquidity concerns further contribute to a negative sentiment. Despite some optimism in margins and potential partnerships, the overall outlook is clouded by uncertainties, leading to a negative prediction for the stock price movement.
Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-02-08
The earnings call highlights significant financial challenges, including a net loss, negative EBITDA, and declining revenues. Although there are some positive developments, like cost savings and strategic initiatives, the Q&A reveals unclear management responses and potential risks, such as tariff impacts. The lack of a share repurchase or dividend program, coupled with weak financial performance, suggests a negative sentiment. The small market cap indicates a likely stronger reaction, aligning with a 'Negative' prediction for the stock price movement.
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-31
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While financial performance shows improvement in EBITDA and net income, revenue has significantly dropped due to lower prices. The Q&A highlights optimistic future prospects, especially in carbon capture and clean sugar, but lacks clarity on timelines and financial impacts. No explicit shareholder return plan is mentioned, and ongoing challenges in supply chain and market demand add uncertainty. Given the small-cap nature and mixed outlook, the stock price movement over the next two weeks is likely to remain within a neutral range (-2% to 2%).
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-06
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: financial performance shows improvement with reduced net loss and higher plant utilization, but revenue is down significantly. Positive aspects include strong margins driven by exports and strategic initiatives in protein production and carbon capture. However, concerns about liquidity, high interest expenses, and unclear management responses in the Q&A weigh against optimism. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to news, resulting in a neutral stock price outlook over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of GPRE’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

GPRE reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 508.49M against an estimate of 583.55M, resulting in a -12.86% surprise. The EPS was 0.17, surpassing the expected 0.02 by 750% . The stock experienced a 12.57% price change on the earnings day and a -2.5% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did GPRE’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following GPRE’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 12.57% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.50% change. Historically, GPRE’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +3.69% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -2.07% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for GPRE for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate GPRE’s annual revenue to reach 479.73M, while the EPS is projected at 0.09. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -6.93% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -14.87% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does GPRE’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between GPRE’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -6.93%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -14.87% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from GPRE’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, GPRE’s stock price typically moves by +3.69% in the 10 days before its earnings and -2.07% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.09 and revenue of 479.73M.
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What is the sentiment in Green Plains Inc (GPRE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with significant cost reductions, high plant utilization, and positive EBITDA outlook. The extension of the 45Z tax credit is a major catalyst, expected to boost earnings significantly. The Q&A session reinforces this with management focusing on operational excellence and strategic debt reduction. Despite some vague responses, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strong operational metrics and favorable policy impacts. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a positive stock movement (2% to 8%) over the next two weeks.
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