GPK Valuation

Graphic Packaging Holding Co

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22.270

+0.08(0.361%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GPK Relative Valuation

GPK's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GPK is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 10.34 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 10.35. The fair price of Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) is between 19.68 to 26.37 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

19.68-26.37

Current Price：22.27

Fair

10.37

Trailing

Forward

8.07

EV/EBITDA

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.07. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 7.46. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.26, Undervalued between 6.26 and 6.86, Fairly Valued between 8.07 and 6.86, Overvalued between 8.07 and 8.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.67. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.07 falls within the Overvalued range.

11.80

EV/EBIT

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.80. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 11.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.14, Undervalued between 8.14 and 9.69, Fairly Valued between 12.78 and 9.69, Overvalued between 12.78 and 14.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.32. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.80 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.76

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) has a current PS of 0.76. The 5-year average PS is 0.77. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.55, Undervalued between 0.55 and 0.66, Fairly Valued between 0.88 and 0.66, Overvalued between 0.88 and 0.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.99. The current Forward PS of 0.76 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.97

P/OCF

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) has a current P/OCF of 4.97. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.70, Undervalued between 3.70 and 4.62, Fairly Valued between 6.45 and 4.62, Overvalued between 6.45 and 7.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.37. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.97 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

8.28

P/FCF

Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) has a current P/FCF of 8.28. The 5-year average P/FCF is 15.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.58, Undervalued between -2.58 and 6.44, Fairly Valued between 24.49 and 6.44, Overvalued between 24.49 and 33.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 33.52. The current Forward P/FCF of 8.28 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.05. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.93 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -30.01% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.04, the current P/B ratio is about -32.71% higher. Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -5.94%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 1.58%, the current FCF yield is approximately -475.77% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.63% , the current FCF yield is about -464.14% lower.

2.06

P/B

Median3y

2.93

Median5y

3.04

-6.01

FCF Yield

Median3y

1.58

Median5y

1.63

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GPK's competitors is 0.90, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Graphic Packaging Holding Co Corp (GPK) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.76, which is -15.49% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -1.48%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GPK.N

Graphic Packaging Holding Co

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GPK decreased by 25.09% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 10.42 to 12.59.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -1.48%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GPK in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-1.48%

2.24B → 2.20B

Revenue Growth

-44.41%

8.49 → 4.72

Margin Expansion

20.80%

10.42 → 12.59

P/E Change

-25.09%