GPK Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how GPK performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GPK sees a +0.78% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.59% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.77%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
GPK Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
2.22B
-5.66%
-0.94%
Gross Margin
22.74%
-4.09%
5.08%
Operating Margin
13.36%
-2.55%
52.51%
Net Margin
7.45%
2.90%
-12.25%
EPS
0.55
0.00%
-11.29%
No Data Available
GPK Earnings Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company Corporation (GPK.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Sales Performance Q3: In the third quarter, Graphic Packaging sales were $2.2 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA and EPS: Adjusted EBITDA was $433 million and adjusted EPS was $0.64.
Muted Volume Growth: We saw clear but muted pivot to volume growth, up 1% during the third quarter after Europe's return to growth last quarter.
Solid EBITDA Margin: The company's adjusted EBITDA margin despite the modest volume growth and some weather and power disruptions was a very solid 19.5% in line with our expectations.
Hiring for New Facility: We have recently begun the hiring process and made our first hires for the Waco, Texas recycled paperboard manufacturing facility investment, which remains on track for the fourth quarter 2025 startup.
Negative
Sales Decline Analysis: In the third quarter, Graphic Packaging sales were $2.2 billion, reflecting a decline of $133 million from August due to lower volumes and market conditions.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance: Adjusted EBITDA was $433 million, which was below expectations, impacted by weather and power disruptions that reduced adjusted EBITDA by $25 million.
Adjusted EPS Decline: The company's adjusted EPS was $0.64, indicating a decrease in profitability compared to previous quarters.
Muted Volume Growth: Volume growth was muted at 1%, which was below expectations after a strong start in July, indicating a slowdown in demand.
Sales Decline Analysis: The company experienced a decline in sales due to the divestiture of the Augusta facility, which contributed to lower participation in open market sales.
GPK FAQs
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GPK Earning Call Sentiment
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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GPK.N
0%Positive
The earnings call reveals several negative aspects: weather and power disruptions impacting EBITDA, reduced volume growth expectations, project cost inflation, and maintenance issues. Financial performance is below expectations with a decrease in sales and price changes. The Q&A section highlights muted volumes and cautious consumer demand. Although there are positive elements like the dividend growth plan and sustainable packaging focus, the overall sentiment is negative due to operational challenges and reduced guidance. This suggests a potential stock price decline of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
