GPK Earnings

GPK reported its earnings on 2026-02-03, showcasing a revenue of 2.10B against an estimate of 2.02B, resulting in a 4.11% surprise. The EPS was 0.29, surpassing the expected 0.34 by -14.71%. The stock experienced a -15.97% price change on the earnings day and a -10.28% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following GPK's earnings announcement on 2026-02-03, the stock price moved by -15.97% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -10.28% change. Historically, GPK's stock price tends to shift by an average of 4.83% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 2.37% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate GPK's annual revenue to reach 2.09B, while the EPS is projected at 0.44. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates revised upward by 0.07% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between GPK's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved revised upward by 0.07%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, GPK's stock price typically moves by 4.83% in the 10 days before its earnings and 2.37% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.44 and revenue of 2.09B.

The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is flat or slightly negative with EBITDA and EPS declines, but optimistic guidance on free cash flow and inventory reduction offers some hope. The Waco facility's ramp-up and strategic focus on cost reduction and innovation are positives. However, competitive pricing pressures and lack of clear guidance on future cash flows and dividends introduce uncertainties. Shareholder returns through increased repurchases are positive, but the market's reaction may remain cautious due to overall mixed signals and lack of strong catalysts.