FOSL Relative Valuation
FOSL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, FOSL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -3.92. The fair price of Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) is between to according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
-
Current Price：3.90
Fair
-13.48
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
18.78
EV/EBITDA
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 18.78. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -89.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -521.08, Undervalued between -521.08 and -305.19, Fairly Valued between 126.60 and -305.19, Overvalued between 126.60 and 342.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 342.49. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 18.78 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
40.27
EV/EBIT
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current EV/EBIT of 40.27. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 0.40. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -106.91, Undervalued between -106.91 and -53.26, Fairly Valued between 54.05 and -53.26, Overvalued between 54.05 and 107.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 107.71. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 40.27 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.25
PS
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current PS of 0.25. The 5-year average PS is 0.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.20, Undervalued between -0.20 and -0.03, Fairly Valued between 0.33 and -0.03, Overvalued between 0.33 and 0.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.51. The current Forward PS of 0.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-18.32
P/OCF
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current P/OCF of -18.32. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.71, Undervalued between -44.71 and -19.95, Fairly Valued between 29.56 and -19.95, Overvalued between 29.56 and 54.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 54.32. The current Forward P/OCF of -18.32 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
41.72
P/FCF
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current P/FCF of 41.72. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.09. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -16.00, Undervalued between -16.00 and -8.55, Fairly Valued between 6.37 and -8.55, Overvalued between 6.37 and 13.83, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.83. The current Forward P/FCF of 41.72 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.48 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 269.52% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.79, the current P/B ratio is about 125.79% higher. Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -9.34%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -8.32% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
1.78
P/B
Median3y
0.48
Median5y
0.79
-21.95
FCF Yield
Median3y
-9.34
Median5y
-8.32
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for FOSL's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Fossil Group Inc Corp (FOSL) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -6.12%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of FOSL increased by 133.53% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.49 to -3.07.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 33.63%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of FOSL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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