FOSL Relative Valuation
FOSL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, FOSL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -3.89. The fair price of Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) is between to according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
-
Current Price：3.62
Fair
-12.38
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
18.57
EV/EBITDA
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 18.57. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -89.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -521.33, Undervalued between -521.33 and -305.44, Fairly Valued between 126.34 and -305.44, Overvalued between 126.34 and 342.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 342.23. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 18.57 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
39.81
EV/EBIT
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current EV/EBIT of 39.81. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 0.16. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -107.06, Undervalued between -107.06 and -53.45, Fairly Valued between 53.77 and -53.45, Overvalued between 53.77 and 107.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 107.38. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 39.81 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.24
PS
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current PS of 0.24. The 5-year average PS is 0.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.20, Undervalued between -0.20 and -0.03, Fairly Valued between 0.33 and -0.03, Overvalued between 0.33 and 0.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.51. The current Forward PS of 0.24 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-17.89
P/OCF
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current P/OCF of -17.89. The 5-year average P/OCF is 4.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.54, Undervalued between -44.54 and -19.82, Fairly Valued between 29.61 and -19.82, Overvalued between 29.61 and 54.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 54.33. The current Forward P/OCF of -17.89 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
40.74
P/FCF
Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL) has a current P/FCF of 40.74. The 5-year average P/FCF is -1.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -15.00, Undervalued between -15.00 and -8.14, Fairly Valued between 5.57 and -8.14, Overvalued between 5.57 and 12.43, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.43. The current Forward P/FCF of 40.74 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.47 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 261.42% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.79, the current P/B ratio is about 116.96% higher. Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -9.57%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -8.10% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
1.64
P/B
Median3y
0.47
Median5y
0.79
-22.47
FCF Yield
Median3y
-9.57
Median5y
-8.10
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for FOSL's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Fossil Group Inc Corp (FOSL) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -6.12%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of FOSL increased by 114.97% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.51 to -2.82.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 33.63%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of FOSL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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