Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that FOSL stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $1.57, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $1.55. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $1.59. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $0.00, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $0.00. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. FOSL has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
FOSL stock price ended at $1.78 on Tuesday, after rising11.95%
The Fossil Group Inc stock price increased by 11.95% on the last trading day (22 Jul 2025), rising from 1.62 to 1.78. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 14.37% , ranging from a day low of $1.6 to a day high of 1.83. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.89% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 443.46K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 532.42K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 925.70K.
FOSL Technical Signals
FOSL(Fossil Group Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-06-04. The total price change during this trend is +16.34%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of FOSL over the last 5 trading days is 298.76K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
FOSL Moving Average Analysis
Fossil Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, July 23, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $1.86, and $1.97. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $1.49, and $1.38. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
FOSL Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Fossil Group Inc(FOSL) as of 17 Jul 2025 is 12.23%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 1.58 to 1.64. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Buy
Sell
2
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.114
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.05
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0625
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $0.00 and $0.00.
Fossil Group Inc Stock Forecast 2026
FOSL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Fossil Group Inc(FOSL), our algorithm predicts FOSL's 1-month price at $1.57, with an -1.38%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.27%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Fossil Group Inc (FOSL.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 20, 2025 , forecasts a -1.38% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LPX.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.27%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
FOSL
Future prediction
Up: -1.38%
LPX
Down: -1.38%Similarity: 97.27%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
LPX.N
97.27%
-1.38%
INVA.O
96.85%
-2.90%
CASY.O
96.80%
+1.22%
RIO.N
96.79%
-2.57%
VECO.O
96.71%
-4.85%
CHD.N
96.71%
+0.97%
CXW.N
96.70%
+13.43%
BANF.O
96.67%
-1.75%
ASPS.O
96.61%
+38.12%
KLXE.O
96.61%
-20.61%
FOSL Seasonality Analysis
Based on FOSL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in FOSL. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at63.64%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Fossil Group Inc (FOSL.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. FOSL has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Fossil Group Inc (FOSL.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Fossil Group Inc (FOSL.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (63.64%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Fossil Group Inc. (FOSL)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
FOSL's stock price fell by -67.19% in 2023,increased by 10.60% in 2024, and went up by 1.14%in 2025.
Is FOSL a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
FOSL has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for FOSL is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of FOSL.
What is the trend of Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)'s moving average?
Fossil Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of July 23 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for FOSL stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Fossil Group Inc (FOSL.O) stock, as of July 20 2025, forecasts a -1.38% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LPX stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.27%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for FOSL Stock?
FOSL stock is predicted to trade around $1.50 in 2025, with potential upside to $1.60 if it breaks above the Fibonacci pivot level of $1.50. However, the stock faces downside risks to $1.34 due to bearish technical indicators and resistance levels.
What is price prediction 2030 for FOSL Stock?
FOSL stock could reach **$3.50 by 2030**, driven by potential market inclusion benefits and industry recovery. The stock is currently undervalued, with a market cap of $73 million and a price of $1.395 as of June 10, 2025. However, risks remain due to its small size and sector volatility.