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FERG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ferguson Enterprises Inc (FERG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
263.420
1 Day change
1.12%
52 Week Range
271.640
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Ferguson Enterprises Inc. does not present a strong buy opportunity at this time for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While the stock shows some positive long-term growth potential and stability, current technical indicators, options sentiment, and financial performance do not suggest an immediate entry point. A 'hold' is recommended until stronger signals or catalysts emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and contracting, indicating a bullish trend, but RSI is in the neutral zone at 74.774, showing no clear signal. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 257.904). However, the stock's recent price action is relatively flat, with a minor regular market change of -0.04% and post-market change of 0.18%.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts maintain an overall positive long-term outlook, with multiple firms raising price targets recently.

  • The company has outlined medium-term growth and margin targets, showcasing strong positioning in attractive verticals.

  • Dividend stability with a yield of 1.39% reflects efforts to attract investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Housing stocks have lagged the SPX by 12 points post-Iran war, and the sector remains under pressure.

  • Options data shows bearish sentiment with a high Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 2.

  • Financial performance in Q1 2026 shows no YoY revenue or net income growth, and EPS and gross margin have dropped significantly.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, revenue and net income remained flat YoY at $8.169 billion and $570 million, respectively. However, EPS dropped to 0 (-100% YoY), and gross margin also declined to 0 (-100% YoY), indicating challenges in profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with several firms raising price targets recently. The highest price target is $300 (Truist), and the lowest is $245 (Deutsche Bank). Most ratings are Overweight or Outperform, but some firms remain cautious due to macroeconomic headwinds in the housing sector.

Wall Street analysts forecast FERG stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FERG stock price to rise
11 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 260.490
sliders
Low
220.32
Averages
262.26
High
289.42
Current: 260.490
sliders
Low
220.32
Averages
262.26
High
289.42
Wells Fargo
Overweight
downgrade
$285 -> $260
AI Analysis
2026-04-08
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$285 -> $260
AI Analysis
2026-04-08
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo lowered the firm's price target on Ferguson to $260 from $285 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes housing stocks have lagged the SPX by 12 points post Iran war start. With that said, Wells believes the group isn't fully derisked into Q1, keeping the firm selective across its calendar reporters.
Morgan Stanley
NULL
to
Overweight
maintain
2026-03-30
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2026-03-30
maintain
NULL
to
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Ferguson to 21,100 GBp from 20,100 GBp and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
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