Should You Buy Ferguson Enterprises Inc (FERG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy for a long-term beginner investor. FERG is in a confirmed uptrend (bullish moving-average stack), fundamentals are accelerating (FY2026 Q1 EPS +24% YoY), and recent Congress trading shows heavy net buying. While near-term upside may be somewhat capped given the stock already trades around/above a few mid-range price targets and insiders have been selling aggressively, the overall setup still favors owning it now rather than waiting for a perfect entry (especially with no clear technical breakdown and support just below current price).
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an established uptrend. MACD histogram is positive (1.522) but contracting, implying upside momentum is still positive but slowing (more grind-up than surge). RSI(6) at ~63.9 is mildly strong but not overbought. Key levels: Pivot ~249.17 is immediate support area; below that S1 ~244.01 is the next notable support. Resistance is near R1 ~254.33, then R2 ~257.52. With price ~250.29, the chart favors a continuation bias as long as it holds the 249–244 zone.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: price targets have mostly been raised/maintained with generally positive ratings. RBC reiterated Outperform and raised PT to $247; Morgan Stanley stayed Overweight and raised its PT (GBp terms). Baird kept Outperform and nudged PT to $265; Barclays kept Overweight but trimmed PT to $267; UBS stayed Neutral and lowered PT to $220; Deutsche Bank stayed Hold and raised PT to $246; Jefferies (Buy) and Bernstein (Outperform) are more bullish with higher PTs ($289 and $288).
Wall Street pros: diversified end-market exposure, above-average growth execution, and potential AI/data-center demand tailwinds.
Wall Street cons: macro/rate/tariff uncertainty and mixed nonresidential markets; some caution that housing affordability remains a headwind into early 2026.
Influential/Political activity: Congress data shows net buying (4 buys, 0 sells) in the last 90 days, which supports a positive sentiment backdrop.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today. SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Wall Street analysts forecast FERG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FERG is 261.34 USD with a low forecast of 220 USD and a high forecast of 291.99 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast FERG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FERG is 261.34 USD with a low forecast of 220 USD and a high forecast of 291.99 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 251.730
Current: 251.730
