Should I Buy Ferguson PLC Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. FERG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
FERG stock price ended at $178.21 on Friday, after losing -0.61%
The Ferguson PLC stock price decreased by -0.61% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 176.48 to 178.21. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.42% , ranging from a day low of $176.26 to a day high of 178.77. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.10% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 383.31K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.55M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 275.99M.
FERG Technical Signals
FERG(Ferguson PLC Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-16. The total price change during this trend is -3.51%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of FERG over the last 5 trading days is 210.34M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
FERG Moving Average Analysis
Ferguson PLC's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $186.24496, and $190.531. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $172.37704000000002, and $168.091. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
FERG Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Ferguson PLC(FERG) as of 16 May 2025 is 17.91%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 181.71 to 184.69. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
10.694
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
7.02
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
3.799
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
FERG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ferguson PLC(FERG), our algorithm predicts FERG's 1-month price at $179.74, with an -2.68%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.69%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Ferguson PLC (FERG.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -2.68% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with BLK.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.69%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
FERG
No Data
BLK
Down: -2.68%Similarity: 97.69%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
BLK.N
97.69%
-2.68%
BIRK.N
97.11%
-6.12%
GGG.N
97.07%
-4.15%
NDSN.O
96.70%
-5.83%
OPCH.O
96.67%
+1.72%
CDNA.O
96.59%
-38.51%
WOLF.N
96.26%
-12.04%
LYV.N
96.15%
-1.81%
DBD.N
96.10%
-4.13%
GVA.N
96.10%
+1.16%
FERG Seasonality Analysis
Based on FERG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is72.73%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in FERG. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Ferguson PLC (FERG.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while March has the lowest probability (27.27%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Ferguson PLC. (FERG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Ferguson PLC (FERG.N) stock?
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