Should I Buy Erie Indemnity Co Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ERIE has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
ERIE stock price ended at $348.8 on Friday, after rising 0.01%
The Erie Indemnity Co stock price increased by 0.01% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 345.01 to 348.8. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.75% , ranging from a day low of $345.01 to a day high of 351.06. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -1.25% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 6.47K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 125.93K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 44.02M.
ERIE Technical Signals
ERIE(Erie Indemnity Co Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-16. The total price change during this trend is -6.72%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of ERIE over the last 5 trading days is 39.66M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
ERIE Moving Average Analysis
Erie Indemnity Co's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $378.5267666666667, and $390.15866666666665. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $340.89056666666664, and $329.25866666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ERIE Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Erie Indemnity Co(ERIE) as of 16 May 2025 is 15.87%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 368.06 to 373.94. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-130.602
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
8.823
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-83.448
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-17.784
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-4.4
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-9.289
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
ERIE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Erie Indemnity Co(ERIE), our algorithm predicts ERIE's 1-month price at $267.25, with an -28.53%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.68%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -28.53% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with MSTR.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.68%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ERIE
No Data
MSTR
Down: -28.53%Similarity: 96.68%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
MSTR.O
96.68%
-28.53%
HKIT.O
96.50%
-51.46%
VNRX.A
96.25%
-10.57%
TCRX.O
96.12%
-16.69%
FOR.N
96.02%
+7.75%
BHE.N
95.99%
+7.09%
LIXT.O
95.89%
-46.15%
SCOR.O
95.88%
-1.65%
ASTC.O
95.82%
-7.76%
MERC.O
95.75%
-8.42%
ERIE Seasonality Analysis
Based on ERIE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in ERIE. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while January has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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