Should You Buy Ecopetrol SA (EC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who doesn’t want to wait for a better entry. While the chart trend is still bullish, the large, near-term Colombia VAT tax dispute (COP 5.3T) creates a material headline/earnings risk that can overwhelm the technical setup. I would wait (HOLD / do not initiate a new position today) until there is clearer resolution or quantified financial impact.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Despite a -2.45% regular-session drop (post-market ~12.74), the trend remains constructive with bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an uptrend across short/medium/long horizons.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.114) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is still present but weakening. RSI(6) ~65 is neutral-to-slightly-warm and not oversold, so there is no strong “dip-buy” technical washout signal.
Levels: Pivot 12.305 is the key near-term line; holding above it supports the bullish structure. Resistance sits at R1 13.083 then R2 13.564; support levels are S1 11.526 and S2 11.045.
Pattern-based bias: Similar-pattern stats show only modest upside next day/week and slightly negative next month (-0.6%), which is not compelling for an impatient long-term entry.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
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