EC Earnings

EC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-13, showcasing a revenue of 30.00T against an estimate of 30.00T, resulting in a -1.62% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.34 by 0% . The stock experienced a 3.8% price change on the earnings day and a 4.3% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following EC's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-13, the stock price moved by 3.80% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.30% change. Historically, EC's stock price tends to shift by an average of +3.26% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +4.69% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate EC’s annual revenue to reach 24.00T, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.83% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 17.16% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between EC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.83%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 17.16% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, EC's stock price typically moves by +3.26% in the 10 days before its earnings and +4.69% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 24.00T.

The earnings call shows a mix of positive and negative factors. Positive aspects include strong operational efficiency, renewable energy goals, and a stable financial outlook. However, concerns arise from potential risks such as exchange rate impacts and uncertainties around asset acquisitions and divestitures. The Q&A session did not reveal significant new concerns, but management's avoidance of certain questions adds uncertainty. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as strong financial performance and strategic initiatives are balanced by market uncertainties and management's cautious communication.