DECK Valuation

Deckers Outdoor Corp

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112.390

-4.46(-3.817%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

DECK Relative Valuation

DECK's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, DECK is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 18.39 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 21.95. The fair price of Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) is between 110.90 to 178.52 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

110.90-178.52

Current Price：116.85

Fair

17.69

Trailing

Forward

13.11

EV/EBITDA

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) has a current EV/EBITDA of 13.11. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 15.77. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.96, Undervalued between 7.96 and 11.87, Fairly Valued between 19.67 and 11.87, Overvalued between 19.67 and 23.57, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.57. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 13.11 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.85

EV/EBIT

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) has a current EV/EBIT of 13.85. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 17.09. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.63, Undervalued between 8.63 and 12.86, Fairly Valued between 21.32 and 12.86, Overvalued between 21.32 and 25.55, and Strongly Overvalued above 25.55. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 13.85 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.14

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) has a current PS of 3.14. The 5-year average PS is 3.45. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.47, Undervalued between 1.47 and 2.46, Fairly Valued between 4.45 and 2.46, Overvalued between 4.45 and 5.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.44. The current Forward PS of 3.14 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

15.05

P/OCF

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) has a current P/OCF of 15.05. The 5-year average P/OCF is 23.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -97.14, Undervalued between -97.14 and -36.81, Fairly Valued between 83.85 and -36.81, Overvalued between 83.85 and 144.18, and Strongly Overvalued above 144.18. The current Forward P/OCF of 15.05 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

14.94

P/FCF

Deckers Outdoor Corp. (DECK) has a current P/FCF of 14.94. The 5-year average P/FCF is -3.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -283.42, Undervalued between -283.42 and -143.62, Fairly Valued between 135.98 and -143.62, Overvalued between 135.98 and 275.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 275.78. The current Forward P/FCF of 14.94 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.07. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 8.68 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -18.48% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 7.63, the current P/B ratio is about -7.31% higher. Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 3.69%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 3.99% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

6.80

P/B

Median3y

8.68

Median5y

7.63

0.00

FCF Yield

Median3y

3.69

Median5y

3.99

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for DECK's competitors is 2.80, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Deckers Outdoor Corp Corp (DECK) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.14, which is 11.92% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 16.86%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Gildan Activewear Inc

Birkenstock Holding PLC

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of DECK decreased by 26.91% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 825.35M to 964.54M.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed 3.00%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of DECK in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

16.86%

825.35M → 964.54M

Revenue Growth

3.00%

14.01 → 14.43

Margin Expansion

-46.77%

32.34 → 17.21

P/E Change

-26.91%