Should You Buy Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who’s impatient. DECK is in a short-term downtrend with weakening momentum (bearish moving averages + worsening MACD), insiders have been selling more aggressively, and analysts have recently turned more cautious. The business is still growing (2026/Q2 revenue +9% YoY, EPS +14% YoY), but the near-term setup is unattractive heading into earnings (2026-01-29) without a clear technical reversal or a proprietary buy signal. If you already own it, holding through the volatility is more reasonable than adding here; if you don’t own it, this is a “wait” rather than a “buy now.”
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish/weakening. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), suggesting price is trending down across short-, mid-, and long-term windows. MACD histogram is negative (-0.815) and negatively expanding, indicating downside momentum is increasing rather than stabilizing. RSI(6) at 33.26 is near oversold territory but not showing a confirmed reversal signal. Key levels: price ~97.6 is sitting near support S1=97.941; a break below opens room toward S2=96.333. Upside resistance begins near the pivot 100.542, then R1=103.143. Pattern-based projection provided: ~80% chance of -0.88% next day, +0.97% next week, +5.87% next month—near-term bias still choppy/down while the 1-month drift is positive.
