CSX Valuation

CSX Corp

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35.990

-0.33(-0.909%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CSX Relative Valuation

CSX's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CSX is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

CSX Corp (CSX) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 20.18 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 18.14. The fair price of CSX Corp (CSX) is between 30.99 to 36.20 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

30.99-36.20

Current Price：35.99

Fair

20.18

Trailing

Forward

12.72

EV/EBITDA

CSX Corp. (CSX) has a current EV/EBITDA of 12.72. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 11.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.95, Undervalued between 9.95 and 10.88, Fairly Valued between 12.75 and 10.88, Overvalued between 12.75 and 13.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.68. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 12.72 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

17.05

EV/EBIT

CSX Corp. (CSX) has a current EV/EBIT of 17.05. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 15.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.86, Undervalued between 12.86 and 14.05, Fairly Valued between 16.41 and 14.05, Overvalued between 16.41 and 17.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.59. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 17.05 falls within the Overvalued range.

4.68

CSX Corp. (CSX) has a current PS of 4.68. The 5-year average PS is 4.84. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.43, Undervalued between 3.43 and 4.13, Fairly Valued between 5.55 and 4.13, Overvalued between 5.55 and 6.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.26. The current Forward PS of 4.68 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

12.92

P/OCF

CSX Corp. (CSX) has a current P/OCF of 12.92. The 5-year average P/OCF is 12.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.77, Undervalued between 9.77 and 11.00, Fairly Valued between 13.47 and 11.00, Overvalued between 13.47 and 14.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.71. The current Forward P/OCF of 12.92 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

25.60

P/FCF

CSX Corp. (CSX) has a current P/FCF of 25.60. The 5-year average P/FCF is 20.34. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 14.83, Undervalued between 14.83 and 17.59, Fairly Valued between 23.10 and 17.59, Overvalued between 23.10 and 25.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 25.85. The current Forward P/FCF of 25.60 falls within the Overvalued range.

CSX Corp (CSX) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 5.47. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 5.15 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 6.35% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 5.27, the current P/B ratio is about 3.82% higher. CSX Corp (CSX) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 2.96%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.83%, the current FCF yield is approximately -38.62% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.58% , the current FCF yield is about -35.35% lower.

5.47

P/B

Median3y

5.15

Median5y

5.27

2.96

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.83

Median5y

4.58

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CSX's competitors is 4.78, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. CSX Corp Corp (CSX) exhibits a P/S ratio of 4.68, which is -2.09% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -3.43%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Norfolk Southern Corp

Canadian National Railway Co

Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CSX increased by 5.02% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 18.68 to 22.28.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -3.43%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CSX in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-3.43%

3.70B → 3.57B

Revenue Growth

-10.84%

26.02 → 23.20

Margin Expansion

19.29%

18.68 → 22.28

P/E Change

5.02%